Milwaukee @ Chicago Picks & Props

Garrett Mitchell's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Garrett Mitchell will hold the platoon advantage over Jameson Taillon in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brice Turang in today's matchup. Brice Turang has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 81.4-mph in the last two weeks. Last season, Brice Turang had a launch angle of 10.2° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 2.9°. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brice Turang's true offensive talent to be a .291, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .024 difference between that figure and his actual .315 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The 5th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 5th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Pete Crow-Armstrong's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage over Colin Rea today.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage over Jameson Taillon in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Bauers stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Miguel Amaya will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) provides evidence that Miguel Amaya has suffered from bad luck this year with his .217 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Mike Tauchman ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Mike Tauchman will have the handedness advantage against Colin Rea in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The 5th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°.

Michael Busch is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage today.

Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. In the past two weeks, Christian Yelich's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%. Christian Yelich has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph dropping to 85-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Christian Yelich's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 12.3% on the season to 18.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Yelich's true offensive talent to be a .349, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .043 gap between that figure and his actual .392 wOBA.

Sal Frelick's batting average ability is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Rhys Hoskins's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.4-mph recently. Rhys Hoskins's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (35.3° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 21.9° seasonal mark.

Colin Rea will hold the platoon advantage over Nico Hoerner today. Nico Hoerner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers. Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 88.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 80.5-mph over the last 14 days. Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.3°, Nico Hoerner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.1°) in the past 14 days.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Tomas Nido will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Tomas Nido has suffered from bad luck this year. His .233 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .304. Tomas Nido's 94.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to measure power) is in the 81st percentile this year. Tomas Nido grades out in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48.5% rate since the start of last season).