Boston @ Colorado props

The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today. Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.3°, Jarren Duran has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.2°) over the past two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive ability to be a .336, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .025 deviation between that mark and his actual .361 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 93°. Romy Gonzalez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 17th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Elias Diaz has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today. Nick Pivetta will have the handedness advantage over Elias Diaz today. Elias Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.2-mph figure last year has fallen off to 87.8-mph. Elias Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 14.5% to 10.8%.

Nick Pivetta will hold the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today's game. Ezequiel Tovar has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .331 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .278 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. With a 9.37 K/BB rate this year, Ezequiel Tovar has demonstrated bad plate discipline, placing in the 1st percentile.

The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Rafael Devers today. Rafael Devers has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 14.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.347) may lead us to conclude that Rafael Devers has had positive variance on his side this year with his .389 actual wOBA.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Masataka Yoshida has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today. Against the weak defense of Colorado's -28-worst infield of all teams today), Masataka Yoshida has a very favorable matchup given his extreme groundball tendencies. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Masataka Yoshida in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 87.5-mph seasonal average has dropped to 85.3-mph in the last 14 days.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today. Batting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today. Ceddanne Rafaela will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Over the last week, Ceddanne Rafaela's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jake Cave is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 93°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 93°.

Brendan Rodgers has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the same side that Nick Pivetta throws from, Brendan Rodgers encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Brendan Rodgers has struggled with his Barrel%; his 11% rate last season has dropped to 4.7% this year. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 19.7% to 9.4%. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brendan Rodgers has experienced some positive variance this year. His .299 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .280.

Connor Wong is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Hitting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Connor Wong will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Connor Wong today. Connor Wong's average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 89.1-mph mark last season has decreased to 86.3-mph. Connor Wong has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph dropping to 81.3-mph over the past 14 days.

Charlie Blackmon is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 93°. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Charlie Blackmon will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Ryan McMahon's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan McMahon is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 93°.

Batting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Tyler O'Neill will have a tough challenge in today's game. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today. Tyler O'Neill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler O'Neill has experienced some positive variance this year. His .373 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .322.

Kris Bryant is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 93°. Kris Bryant will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 93°. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Sam Hilliard will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Sam Hilliard will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 93°.

The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 93°. The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Nick Pivetta. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 93°. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jacob Stallings has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.7-mph mark.

David Hamilton is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 93°. Hitting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, David Hamilton will have an advantage in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 93°.

Dominic Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 93°. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's game.

The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 93°. Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Reese McGuire will have the upper hand today. Reese McGuire may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.