Atlanta @ New York Picks & Props

Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 14th-best out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and D.J. Stewart will hold that advantage in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in D.J. Stewart's launch angle from last season's 16.5° to 19.5° this season.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Zack Short hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 14th-best among every team playing today. Zack Short's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 20.5%. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Zack Short has suffered from bad luck this year. His .217 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .262.

Jeff McNeil's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 14th-best out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will bat from his worse side against Chris Sale in today's game. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Chris Sale will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pete Alonso in today's game. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Travis d'Arnaud has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 15th-best among every team playing today. This year, Travis d'Arnaud's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) grades out in the 90th percentile at 95.6 mph.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Chris Sale will have the handedness advantage against Tyrone Taylor today. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 14th-best out of every team on the slate today. Tyrone Taylor will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ramon Laureano pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 15th-best among every team playing today. Ramon Laureano has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last year's 88-mph mark. Ramon Laureano's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 42.5% to 50%.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the same side that Chris Sale throws from, J.D. Martinez will have a tough matchup in today's matchup.

Austin Riley projects as the 17th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Riley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 15th-best among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jarred Kelenic has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage against Luis Severino in today's game. Jarred Kelenic hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 15th-best among every team playing today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the same side that Chris Sale throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 14th-best out of every team on the slate today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Chris Sale will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mark Vientos today. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage today.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Adam Duvall pulls many of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 15th-best among every team playing today. Compared to his seasonal average of 22.6°, Adam Duvall has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 53.7° mark in the past 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.296) provides evidence that Adam Duvall has suffered from bad luck this year with his .249 actual wOBA.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Orlando Arcia pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 15th-best among every team playing today. Orlando Arcia's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (8.9°) is significantly better than his 5.6° mark last year. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Orlando Arcia's true offensive ability to be a .282, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .034 gap between that mark and his actual .248 wOBA.

Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Eddie Rosario will have the upper hand in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 15th-best among every team playing today. Eddie Rosario has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last season's 88.6-mph average.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-best infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jose Iglesias has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Chris Sale will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Iglesias in today's matchup.