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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 24, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.90 |
+136 
|
o6.5 -130
|
+1.5 -170 
|
|
4.57 |
-155 
|
u7.0 -115
|
-1.5 +150 
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Leahys last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Leahys last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Leahys last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.48 |
-125
|
o8.5 -122 
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
5.04 |
+112 
|
u9.0 -120 
|
+1.5 -150
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games.
- Over is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Royals last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.28 |
+170
|
o7.0 -155
|
+1.5 -127
|
|
4.27 |
-195
|
u7.5 -108
|
-1.5 +122
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games as a road underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 home games.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cubs last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.79 |
+111
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -195 
|
|
4.58 |
-125
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +171
|
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 on grass.
Texas
- Over is 7-0-1 in Rangers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games.
- Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Rangers last 10 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
o0.5+176
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.39 |
-185
|
o10.0 -115 
|
-1.5 -112
|
|
4.94 |
+158
|
u10.5 -120
|
+1.5 +100
|
Arizona
- Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 road games.
- Diamondbacks are 9-0 in Rodriguezs last 9 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rodriguezs last 4 starts as a favorite.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.39 |
+100
|
o8.5 -104
|
+1.5 -205
|
|
4.71 |
-115
|
u8.5 -108
|
-1.5 +165
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 8-1-1 in Brewers last 10 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road favorite.
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 overall.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 on grass.
Top Projection
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.66 |
+120
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -186
|
|
4.27 |
-134
|
u7.5 -114
|
-1.5 +165
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Daniel Espino o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-130)
o1.5-130
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.62 |
+130
|
o6.5 -114
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.06 |
-145
|
u6.5 +100
|
-1.5 +162
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Rays are 10-1 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 overall.
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 home starts.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Yankees last 8 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.31 |
+183
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -118
|
|
5.34 |
-210
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +106
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 6-0-1 in Singers last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Reds last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Reds last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Reds last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in Mahles last 5 starts on grass.
- Braves are 5-0 in Mahles last 5 starts.
- Braves are 4-0 in Mahles last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 4-0 in Mahles last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+278)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.35 |
+168
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -134
|
|
4.19 |
-195
|
u7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +120
|
LA Angels
- Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 road games.
- Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 on grass.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Mariners last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+350)
o0.5+350
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.41 |
-155
|
o11.0 -115
|
-1.5 -102
|
|
5.43 |
+138
|
u11.5 -125
|
+1.5 -113
|
Houston
- Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 games as a favorite.
- Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 road games.
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 11-1 in last 12 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
o1.5+140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.98 |
+152
|
o7.5 -109
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.47 |
-170
|
u7.5 -109
|
-1.5 +130
|
San Diego
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Padres are 5-0 in Pivettas last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 on grass.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Dodgers last 8 home games.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
o1.5+185
STL
@
PIT
Thu, Sep 24 • 12:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 18th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. PNC Park ranks as the #3 park in the league for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Leahy today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park ranks as the #3 park in the league for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an edge today.
CHW
@
KC
Thu, Sep 24 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-103)
Projection 2.09
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Bobby Witt Jr. will hold that advantage today.
Total Hits
Tristan Peters u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tristan Peters is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.. Tristan Peters pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.2% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams in action today.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tristan Peters in today's matchup.
MIA
@
CHC
Thu, Sep 24 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Wrigley Field has the 7th-tallest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Heriberto Hernandez today.
Total Bases
Michael Busch u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-tallest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching on the slate.
NYM
@
TEX
Thu, Sep 24 • 2:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Jake Burger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 117° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Jake Burger will have the handedness advantage against Zach Thornton in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 117° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Wyatt Langford will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Thornton in today's game.
AZ
@
COL
Thu, Sep 24 • 3:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.
Total Bases
Nolan Arenado o1.5 Total Bases (+118)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
MIL
@
PHI
Thu, Sep 24 • 6:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Brandon Marsh o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.28
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 14th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability.. The #9 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Colton Gordon will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Marsh today.. Brandon Marsh has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #9 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.
CLE
@
BOS
Thu, Sep 24 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. The #3 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Daniel Espino in today's game.. Jarren Duran has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences today.. Jarren Duran will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Roman Anthony o0.5 Total RBIs (+228)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony as the 17th-best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP ability.. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Roman Anthony will hold the platoon advantage against Daniel Espino in today's game.. Roman Anthony hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
TB
@
NYY
Thu, Sep 24 • 7:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Paul Goldschmidt o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Paul Goldschmidt has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Victor Mesa Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Victor Mesa Jr. has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (69% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Victor Mesa Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cam Schlittler in today's matchup.
CIN
@
ATL
Thu, Sep 24 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.. Truist Park has the 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all parks.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Eugenio Suarez projects as the 17th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in baseball for overall right-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions on the slate today at 77%.
LAA
@
SEA
Thu, Sep 24 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
SEA (-204)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Mariners right-hander Bryan Woo has dominated Angels hitters in the past, limiting them to a .190 batting average and .442 OPS. Meanwhile, Grayson Rodriguez's struggles have continued, as he owns a 5.58 xERA and a hard-hit rate that ranks in the fourth percentile, according to Baseball Savant. Seattle is playable on the ML to -220.
Total Bases
Josh Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
Projection 1.2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the most humid conditions on the slate today at 86%.. Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Woo has a large platoon split.. Josh Lowe has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
HOU
@
ATH
Thu, Sep 24 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (-105)
Projection 1.04
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the best park in MLB for LHB home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-145)
Projection 2.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the best park in MLB for LHB home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.
SD
@
LAD
Thu, Sep 24 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
SD (+155)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
I'll back the San Diego Padres at 39%, as there's an edge at that price. I make them closer to a 44% underdog in this matchup against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers have already clinched a bye and are always focused on postseason baseball, so there's little incentive to push their key players in a game like this. Tyler Glasnow is an important piece of their potential World Series run, but given his history of durability issues, I don't expect to see a high pitch count from him on Thursday. Dave Roberts should be cautious with his workload. The Padres, meanwhile, are locked in a three-way battle for positioning in the Wild Card round and should be approaching this game with a much greater sense of urgency. I expect San Diego to be aggressive with its high-leverage relievers, which gives the Padres an edge in a game where the Dodgers have less to play for.
Total Bases
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for RHB home runs.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Moneyline
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It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
