Cleveland @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 venue in baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Ben Lively will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Lively's large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians. Alec Bohm has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 venue in baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Considering Ben Lively's large platoon split, Trea Turner will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, falling from 48.1% on the season to 26.3% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. Given Ben Lively's large platoon split, Brandon Marsh will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. Extreme groundball bats like Bo Naylor generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez. Bo Naylor has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 96.4-mph over the past 7 days. Bo Naylor's launch angle of late (54° over the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 20.6° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. Steven Kwan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. This season, Steven Kwan has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 87.4 mph compared to last year's 85.3 mph mark.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Josh Naylor ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Naylor is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Ben Lively in today's game... and even better, Lively has a large platoon split. Bryson Stott is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP. Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Jhonkensy Noel is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. Jhonkensy Noel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. In the past 7 days, Jhonkensy Noel's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.7-mph over the course of the season to 108.9-mph in recent games.

Angel Martinez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Cristopher Sanchez. Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Angel Martinez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 22.8% on the season to 28% in the past two weeks.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 venue in baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 44.3% to 38.2%. Jose Ramirez has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .350 rate is considerably higher than his .331 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Ben Lively today... and moreover, Lively has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Tyler Freeman will have an edge in today's matchup. Tyler Freeman has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88-mph average to last season's 85.8-mph average.

David Fry is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. David Fry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. David Fry pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Checking in at the 89th percentile, David Fry sits with a .357 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Bryce Harper projects as the 9th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. Considering Ben Lively's large platoon split, Bryce Harper will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. The switch-hitting Brayan Rocchio will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Cristopher Sanchez. Brayan Rocchio grades out in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.8% rate this year).

Andres Gimenez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. Andres Gimenez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 92.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 88.6-mph. Andres Gimenez has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .274 rate is a good deal lower than his .310 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game. Johan Rojas has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 29.35 ft/sec to 30.1 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Johan Rojas's true offensive talent to be a .276, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .026 disparity between that figure and his actual .250 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's game. Nick Castellanos has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 91.1-mph.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. J.T. Realmuto will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°. Austin Hedges will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Austin Hedges pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Austin Hedges's launch angle this year (20.4°) is considerably higher than his 15.7° mark last year.