Atlanta @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jeff McNeil has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (92% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Schwellenbach today. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Sean Murphy has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .242 mark is quite a bit lower than his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jarred Kelenic is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jarred Kelenic hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. J.D. Martinez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Austin Riley is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Riley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today. Mark Vientos has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.7% rate last year to 16.9% this year.

In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Eddie Rosario will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Eddie Rosario has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 88.6-mph average.

In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). D.J. Stewart will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Schwellenbach in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and D.J. Stewart will hold that advantage in today's game.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Tyrone Taylor will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Tyrone Taylor's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 25%.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Orlando Arcia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Last year, Orlando Arcia had an average launch angle of 5.6° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 8.9°. Despite posting a .253 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Orlando Arcia has experienced some negative variance given the .030 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .283.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jose Iglesias will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Olson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Luis Torrens hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage in today's game. Luis Torrens has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 26.34 ft/sec to 26.89 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge today. Brandon Nimmo has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Adam Duvall is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Adam Duvall pulls many of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Adam Duvall is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of New York (#2-worst on the slate today).