Seattle @ Boston Picks & Props

When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Victor Robles has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 44% of the time. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. Victor Robles will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Victor Robles's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.6% down to 7.7%. Compared to his seasonal mark of 14.5°, Victor Robles's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (7.3° in the past 14 days).

Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 14.3-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team playing today. Josh Rojas's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (16.1°) is considerably higher than his 10.5° figure last year. Josh Rojas's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (26.7° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 16° seasonal angle.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. Randy Arozarena will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Over the past week, Randy Arozarena's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.7% down to 0%. Randy Arozarena has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph dropping to 85.1-mph in the last week. Randy Arozarena has recorded a .227 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 11th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Cal Raleigh has posted a .264 BABIP this year, checking in at the 19th percentile.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive skill to be a .335, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .029 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .364 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Fenway Park projects as the #5 park in the majors for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Fenway Park projects as the #5 park in the majors for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.

Fenway Park projects as the #5 park in the majors for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Leonardo Rivas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against James Paxton. Leonardo Rivas pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #5 park in the majors for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Fenway Park projects as the #5 park in the majors for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game... and moreover, Castillo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. David Hamilton will have the handedness advantage over Luis Castillo in today's game... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.

Fenway Park projects as the #5 park in the majors for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Mitch Haniger will hold the platoon advantage over James Paxton in today's game. Mitch Haniger hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Fenway Park projects as the #5 park in the majors for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Mitch Garver will have the handedness advantage over James Paxton in today's matchup. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Dylan Moore ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Fenway Park projects as the #5 park in the majors for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Dylan Moore will have an edge in today's matchup.