Arizona @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions on the slate at 84%. Oneil Cruz will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Oneil Cruz has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 19.1% seasonal rate to 40% in the past 7 days.

PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for homers. In the past 7 days, Bryan De La Cruz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11% down to 0%. Over the last week, Bryan De La Cruz's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.1%. Bryan De La Cruz has displayed poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 9th percentile with a 4.74 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions on the slate at 84%. Gabriel Moreno has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.3-mph EV. Over the last 14 days, Gabriel Moreno's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.4%.

Ketel Marte projects as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions on the slate at 84%. Ketel Marte has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 10.9% seasonal rate to 19.4% in the last 14 days.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions on the slate at 84%. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand today.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions on the slate at 84%. In the past week's worth of games, Geraldo Perdomo's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 87.1 mph to 84.3 mph.

PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for homers. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, Bryan Reynolds's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.6% down to 0%. Bryan Reynolds's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 94.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 90.5-mph in the last 14 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Joc Pederson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions on the slate at 84%. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions on the slate at 84%. Josh Bell has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.7% seasonal rate to 16% over the last two weeks.

Jake McCarthy's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions on the slate at 84%. Jake McCarthy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup. Jake McCarthy's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (15.6°) is quite a bit better than his 11.1° angle last year.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions on the slate at 84%. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Michael A. Taylor will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Michael A. Taylor will hold that advantage today. Michael A. Taylor has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.5% seasonal rate to 26.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Alek Thomas will have an edge in today's game. Alek Thomas has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 5.2% rate last season to 10.3% this year. Alek Thomas has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last year's 88.9-mph figure.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions on the slate at 84%. Andrew McCutchen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions on the slate at 84%. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Ke'Bryan Hayes will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions on the slate at 84%. Eugenio Suarez has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.2% seasonal rate to 22.9% in the last 14 days. Over the last 14 days, Eugenio Suarez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions on the slate at 84%. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jared Triolo's BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Jared Triolo will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today's game. Jared Triolo has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.2-mph average.

Joey Bart is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions on the slate at 84%. Joey Bart will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Joey Bart will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Connor Joe is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions on the slate at 84%. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Connor Joe will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage today.