Chicago @ Minnesota Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Luis Robert is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Luis Robert's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 41.6% on the season to 65% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Miguel Vargas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Compared to his seasonal angle of 20.6°, Miguel Vargas has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (12.5°) over the last 14 days. As it relates to his batting average, Miguel Vargas has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .201 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) may lead us to conclude that Korey Lee has suffered from bad luck this year with his .210 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 41.9% to 49.1%. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Willi Castro ranks in the 84th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .346.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Andrew Benintendi will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober today. Andrew Benintendi has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 91.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Royce Lewis is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Royce Lewis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Royce Lewis will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 87°. Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Ober in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Garrett Crochet. Carlos Santana will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Carlos Santana's launch angle this season (15.9°) is a considerable increase over his 12.5° angle last season.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Brooks Lee will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Brooks Lee has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 91.4-mph. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Brooks Lee has experienced some negative variance this year. His .273 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Andrew Vaughn has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 10% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past 7 days. Andrew Vaughn has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 92.7-mph.

Riley Baldwin is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. In the last two weeks, Riley Baldwin has posted a 30.6° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 87°. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Christian Vazquez will have an edge today. Christian Vazquez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Christian Vazquez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 5.2% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Corey Julks's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (15°) is a significant increase over his 8.6° figure last year. The standard deviation of Corey Julks's launch angle since the start of last season (26.1°) is in the 88th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Byron Buxton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage today.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Dominic Fletcher will have an advantage in today's game. Dominic Fletcher has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .238 figure is deflated compared to his .286 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Dominic Fletcher is in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (25.8% rate since the start of last season). Grading out in the 85th percentile, Dominic Fletcher has posted a .332 BABIP since the start of last season.

Lenyn Sosa is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Lenyn Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13% to 18.2%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.285) suggests that Lenyn Sosa has had bad variance on his side this year with his .232 actual batting average. Lenyn Sosa has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial skill for batting average), placing in the 91st percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Ryan Jeffers will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today. Ryan Jeffers will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Austin Martin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Austin Martin will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Austin Martin has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 87.4-mph. Over the past 7 days, Austin Martin's 71.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 53.6%.

Jose Miranda's batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Miranda is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jose Miranda will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Miranda will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Manuel Margot is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Manuel Margot will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Manuel Margot will hold that advantage today.

Nicky Lopez has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.