Boston @ Texas props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the 2nd-worst ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -13° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Today, Jarren Duran is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.7% rate (88th percentile). Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Josh Smith will have the handedness advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage today. Josh Smith has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 101.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 89.1-mph.

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Pivetta. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Leody Taveras will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Leody Taveras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 94.7-mph of late. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.264) provides evidence that Leody Taveras has suffered from bad luck this year with his .229 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. In the last week, Rob Refsnyder's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 16.7%. Over the last two weeks, Rob Refsnyder's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.4-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph recently. In notching a .390 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Rob Refsnyder finds himself in the 96th percentile.

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today's matchup. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Over the past 7 days, Rafael Devers's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.2% up to 21.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida is apt to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers has just 1 same-handed RP. Masataka Yoshida has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 87.9-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Josh Jung will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Using Statcast metrics, Josh Jung grades out in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .265. Josh Jung's 91.5-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in the game since the start of last season: 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Adolis Garcia will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adolis Garcia's true offensive talent to be a .323, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .037 difference between that figure and his actual .286 wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Marcus Semien ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Marcus Semien has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph to 92.5-mph in the last week.

The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Connor Wong's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.8%. Ranking in the 85th percentile, Connor Wong sports a .352 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year. Connor Wong has notched a .359 BABIP this year, grading out in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 93.7-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.1°, Ceddanne Rafaela has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.6° mark in the last week's worth of games. Ceddanne Rafaela has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 17.8° figure is among the highest in Major League Baseball this year (92nd percentile).

Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge in today's game. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Hamilton can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. In the last week, David Hamilton's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5% up to 14.3%. In the last two weeks' worth of games, David Hamilton's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.8%.

Ezequiel Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's game. Ezequiel Duran's launch angle lately (27.7° over the past week) is a considerable increase over his 7.7° seasonal angle. Grading out in the 80th percentile, Ezequiel Duran has posted a .328 BABIP this year.

Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Dominic Smith will have an edge in today's game. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Dominic Smith has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 7 days. Dominic Smith's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 16.9% to 21.1%. Dominic Smith's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 21.1% on the season to 34.8% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers has just 1 same-handed RP. Wilyer Abreu has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph dropping to 87.9-mph in the last week's worth of games. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.5°, Wilyer Abreu has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 27.1° angle over the last two weeks.