Final Sep 16
MIN 3 -117 o7.0
CLE 4 +108 u7.0
Final (10) Sep 16
WAS 1 +182 o7.5
NYM 2 -200 u7.5
Final Sep 16
LAD 9 -131 o8.0
ATL 0 +121 u8.0
Final Sep 16
PHI 2 -106 o8.0
MIL 6 -102 u8.0
Final Sep 16
DET 7 +116 o8.0
KC 6 -125 u8.0
Final Sep 16
OAK 2 +180 o8.0
CHC 9 -197 u8.0
Final Sep 16
PIT 0 -124 o7.0
STL 4 +115 u7.0
Final Sep 16
AZ 2 -172 o11.0
COL 3 +158 u11.0
Final Sep 16
CHW 8 +171 o8.0
LAA 4 -188 u8.0
Final Sep 16
HOU 1 +106 o7.5
SD 3 -115 u7.5
Bally Sports Network, NESN

Boston @ Kansas City props

Kauffman Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Michael Massey is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Michael Massey will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball bats like Michael Massey generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Michael Massey is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Michael Massey will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball bats like Michael Massey generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-160
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-160
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) but may find it hard to clear the game's deepest RF fences today. Bobby Witt Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 94.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 82.7-mph in the past week. Bobby Witt Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (2.2° in the past 14 days) is considerably worse than his 8.8° seasonal angle.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) but may find it hard to clear the game's deepest RF fences today. Bobby Witt Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 94.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 82.7-mph in the past week. Bobby Witt Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (2.2° in the past 14 days) is considerably worse than his 8.8° seasonal angle.

Nick Sogard Total Hits Props • Boston

N. Sogard
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. In the past week, Nick Sogard's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 100% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Nick Sogard

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. In the past week, Nick Sogard's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 100% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand in today's game.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand in today's game.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Smith
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage in today's game. Dominic Smith has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.6% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the past week. Dominic Smith has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph EV.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage in today's game. Dominic Smith has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.6% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the past week. Dominic Smith has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph EV.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Kansas City

A. Frazier
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Adam Frazier will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.246) suggests that Adam Frazier has been unlucky this year with his .195 actual batting average.

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Adam Frazier will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.246) suggests that Adam Frazier has been unlucky this year with his .195 actual batting average.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Vinnie Pasquantino will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split.

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Vinnie Pasquantino will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, David Hamilton will have an advantage in today's matchup. David Hamilton has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 7 days. David Hamilton has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 87.9-mph.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, David Hamilton will have an advantage in today's matchup. David Hamilton has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 7 days. David Hamilton has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 87.9-mph.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Kyle Isbel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage in today's game.

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Kyle Isbel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Jarren Duran is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Jarren Duran is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City

H. Renfroe
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage in today's game. Hunter Renfroe has shown impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile with a 1.87 K/BB rate.

Hunter Renfroe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage in today's game. Hunter Renfroe has shown impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile with a 1.87 K/BB rate.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, MJ Melendez will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Extreme flyball hitters like MJ Melendez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, MJ Melendez will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Extreme flyball hitters like MJ Melendez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Connor Wong is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Sporting a .351 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Connor Wong is ranked in the 85th percentile.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Connor Wong is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Sporting a .351 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Connor Wong is ranked in the 85th percentile.

Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

F. Fermin
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage today. Freddy Fermin has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.6-mph EV.

Freddy Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage today. Freddy Fermin has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.6-mph EV.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Batters such as Salvador Perez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Batters such as Salvador Perez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ceddanne Rafaela's 20.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%. Ceddanne Rafaela and his 17.7° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 92nd percentile, among the highest in the majors this year.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ceddanne Rafaela's 20.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%. Ceddanne Rafaela and his 17.7° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 92nd percentile, among the highest in the majors this year.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Maikel Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Maikel Garcia has suffered from bad luck this year. His .238 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .280.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Maikel Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Maikel Garcia has suffered from bad luck this year. His .238 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .280.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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