What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 24, 2026.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.90 |
+138 |
o6.5 -120 |
+1.5 -170 |
|
|
4.26 |
-155 |
u7.0 -110 |
-1.5 +152 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.52 |
-130 |
o8.5 -122 |
-1.5 +130 |
|
|
4.76 |
+120 |
u9.0 -120 |
+1.5 -139 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.32 |
+180 |
o7.0 -107 |
+1.5 -122 |
|
|
4.13 |
-200 |
u7.5 -135 |
-1.5 +115 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.70 |
+112 |
o8.0 -115 |
+1.5 -186 |
|
|
4.48 |
-129 |
u8.5 -120 |
-1.5 +168 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.42 |
-190 |
o9.5 -125 |
-1.5 -120 |
|
|
4.92 |
+165 |
u10.5 -130 |
+1.5 +110 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.41 |
+116 |
o7.5 -115 |
+1.5 -188 |
|
|
4.77 |
-129 |
u8.0 -104 |
-1.5 +170 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.64 |
+115 |
o6.5 -113 |
+1.5 -200 |
|
|
4.14 |
-125 |
u7.0 -134 |
-1.5 +170 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.72 |
+130 |
o5.5 -125 |
+1.5 -185 |
|
|
3.88 |
-148 |
u6.5 -135 |
-1.5 +160 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.29 |
+188 |
o7.5 -110 |
+1.5 -115 |
|
|
5.33 |
-213 |
u7.5 -102 |
-1.5 +105 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.41 |
+180 |
o6.5 -125 |
+1.5 -125 |
|
|
4.43 |
-200 |
u7.0 -115 |
-1.5 +112 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.69 |
-159 |
o10.5 -107 |
-1.5 -102 |
|
|
5.40 |
+140 |
u10.5 +100 |
+1.5 -110 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.07 |
+150 |
o7.5 -125 |
+1.5 -143 |
|
|
4.88 |
-173 |
u8.0 -110 |
-1.5 +130 |
Play down to +120. Vinnie Pasquantino is scorching hot, posting a .611 ISO with three homers over his last five games while clearing this total-bases line in five straight. David Sandlin has allowed plenty of hard contact, and Chicago’s struggling bullpen gives Pasquantino additional opportunities to keep producing.
A long fly could be tough to come by Thursday afternoon at Wrigley, so I’m going chalky with Crow-Armstrong. He’s second in ISO against right-handed pitchers among qualified hitters, and Miami starter Tyler Phillips has surrendered 1.61 home runs per nine innings with a massive 49.0% hard-hit rate and 40.0% squared-up contact rate to left-handed hitters as a starter.
This Under 7.5 is good to 59% because the wind is forecast to be blowing in briskly at Wrigley Field, and both starting pitchers have been solid down the stretch. Miami righty Tyler Phillips also pitching well with a 3.67 xERA and 3.84 xFIP across his past six starts, and Chicago lefty Matthew Boyd checks in with a 3.72 xERA and 3.77 xFIP across his past five starts.
Corey Seager owns a .204 ISO and hefty 16.7% barrel rate over the last 25 games when facing fastballs and cutters thrown by lefties.
Zac Thornton ranks in the 17th percentile in HR/FB against lefties his past six starts. He’s giving up a ton of power to lefties, and Seager is a prime candidate to make him pay.
This game has sneaky run potential, making the over an appealing play to 52%.
Zac Thornton has allowed 2.17 HR/9 the past month, and the Texas Rangers have the power to take advantage.
New York has a real path to scoring as well. Kumar Rocker owns a sky-high 1.59 WHIP over the last 30 days, and Texas’ bullpen has the league’s fifth highest ERA in September.
Jake Bauers has hit for plenty of power against right-handed pitchers, posting a .208 ISO and 14.6% barrel rate.
Andrew Painter ranks in the 29th percentile in HR/9 when facing left-handed bats. Bauers has left the park in 28.9% of his games against a starting pitcher who sits in the 35th percentile or worse in that category.
Philadelphia Phillies starter Andrew Painter has pitched better of late but that coincides with a decrease in opponent quality. He is still yet to put together a good performance against an elite offense. Painter has posted a 9.81 xERA and 12.32 ERA over five starts against Top-10 teams in OBP vs. right-handed pitching. The Brewers, of course, rank first and scored five runs over five innings the last time they faced him.
Ramirez has the track record against Suarez to go yard (.363 xBA, .472 xSLG) and is at one of the more hitter-friendly ballparks in the big leagues. Tie in the fact that Ramirez owns an .842 OPS against lefties, and we have the perfect storm for a homer.
No matter which way you slice it, there will be runs in this game. The Guardians have a history against Suarez, and I'm not sold that an opener can keep this solid Red Sox offense at bay. Espino has been shaky lately, allowing four earned runs across his last 1 1/3 innings pitched. Yes, he'll only pitch one inning, but he could kick-start our Over early. On the other side, Suarez owns the highest xERA (3.73) over his last three years, giving us the confidence to believe the Guardians can help us get over the line.
Cam Schlittler gives New York a major pitching advantage after posting a 2.30 FIP over the last month and allowing one earned run or fewer in eight straight outings. Tampa Bay enters with a 61 wRC+ over the last week, making this an excellent spot for the Yankees ace.
Paul Goldschmidt has hit .307 with a .281 ISO and 13.1% barrel rate vs. LHP.
His numbers further increase when isolating the fastball-changeup combination Ian Seymour is heavily reliant on, with the ISO climbing to .312.
Goldschmidt has also homered in 24.1% of his games against left-handed starters ranking in the 60th percentile or worse in HR/9 vs. RHH.
I recommend this Over 7.5 to -115 becauase the Atlanta offense is set up for success against Reds righty Brady Singer. He's posted a 7.06 xERA and 5.49 xFIP across his past 10 starts while also allowing highest wOBA and squared-up contact rate among pitchers with at least 150 innings pitched this season. The Reds only need to chip in to send this total Over the number tonight.
Reds righty Brady Singer has allowed three earned runs or more in each of his past 10 starts for an enormous 7.06 xERA and 5.49 xFIP, so I recommend this Braves -1.5 run line to 52%. With Cincy eliminated from the postseason, there’s no reason for Singer to have a short leash Thursday night, and Atlanta manager Walt Weiss doesn’t “believe in taking your foot off the gas with the position players." The Braves pull away at home tonight.
Mariners right-hander Bryan Woo has dominated Angels hitters in the past, limiting them to a .190 batting average and .442 OPS. Meanwhile, Grayson Rodriguez's struggles have continued, as he owns a 5.58 xERA and a hard-hit rate that ranks in the fourth percentile, according to Baseball Savant. Seattle is playable on the ML to -220.
Los Angeles enters this matchup scorching hot, carrying a 165 wRC+ and .236 ISO over the last week. Nick Pivetta has allowed plenty of loud contact lately, including a 14.3% barrel rate over the last month. Against this Dodgers lineup, those underlying numbers are particularly concerning.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.