Final Sep 16
MIN 3 -117 o7.0
CLE 4 +108 u7.0
Final (10) Sep 16
WAS 1 +182 o7.5
NYM 2 -200 u7.5
Final Sep 16
LAD 9 -131 o8.0
ATL 0 +121 u8.0
Final Sep 16
PHI 2 -106 o8.0
MIL 6 -102 u8.0
Final Sep 16
DET 7 +116 o8.0
KC 6 -125 u8.0
Final Sep 16
OAK 2 +180 o8.0
CHC 9 -197 u8.0
Final Sep 16
PIT 0 -124 o7.0
STL 4 +115 u7.0
Final Sep 16
AZ 2 -172 o11.0
COL 3 +158 u11.0
Final Sep 16
CHW 8 +171 o8.0
LAA 4 -188 u8.0
Final Sep 16
HOU 1 +106 o7.5
SD 3 -115 u7.5
Bally Sports Network

Tampa Bay @ St. Louis props

Busch Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Victor Scott II Total Hits Props • St. Louis

V. Scott II
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Victor Scott hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Victor Scott will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Victor Scott is notably toolsy, ranking in the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 30.37 ft/sec this year.

Victor Scott II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Victor Scott hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Victor Scott will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Victor Scott is notably toolsy, ranking in the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 30.37 ft/sec this year.

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Siri
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jose Siri is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Jose Siri has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure.

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jose Siri is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Jose Siri has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure.

Yandy Díaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Y. Díaz
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Hitting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Yandy Diaz encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Today, Yandy Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41.4% rate (98th percentile). Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz's launch angle lately (-9° in the past week's worth of games) is considerably worse than his 4° seasonal figure. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (-0.3°) is a considerable dropoff from his 4.9° mark last season.

Yandy Díaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Hitting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Yandy Diaz encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Today, Yandy Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41.4% rate (98th percentile). Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz's launch angle lately (-9° in the past week's worth of games) is considerably worse than his 4° seasonal figure. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (-0.3°) is a considerable dropoff from his 4.9° mark last season.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

C. Morel
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Christopher Morel is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. In the past week's worth of games, Christopher Morel's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 28.6%.

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Christopher Morel is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. In the past week's worth of games, Christopher Morel's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 28.6%.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. In the past week's worth of games, Taylor Walls's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.8% up to 11.1%. Despite posting a .232 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Taylor Walls has had some very poor luck given the .049 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .281.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. In the past week's worth of games, Taylor Walls's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.8% up to 11.1%. Despite posting a .232 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Taylor Walls has had some very poor luck given the .049 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .281.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today.

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Pedro Pages Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Pages
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Pedro Pages will have the handedness advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup. Pedro Pages will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Pedro Pages's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 11.4% on the season to 28.6% in the past week's worth of games.

Pedro Pages

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Pedro Pages will have the handedness advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup. Pedro Pages will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Pedro Pages's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 11.4% on the season to 28.6% in the past week's worth of games.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today's game. Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 43.4% on the season to 62.5% over the last week.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today's game. Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 43.4% on the season to 62.5% over the last week.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Brendan Donovan's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°. Brendan Donovan will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Brendan Donovan has had some very poor luck this year. His .316 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .337. Brendan Donovan has recorded a .279 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Brendan Donovan's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°. Brendan Donovan will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Brendan Donovan has had some very poor luck this year. His .316 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .337. Brendan Donovan has recorded a .279 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Masyn Winn is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Masyn Winn will hold the platoon advantage over Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.2-mph over the course of the season to 89.5-mph recently.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Masyn Winn is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Masyn Winn will hold the platoon advantage over Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.2-mph over the course of the season to 89.5-mph recently.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. Pham
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Tommy Pham's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Tommy Pham will have an advantage today. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Tommy Pham's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Tommy Pham will have an advantage today. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Gorman
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage today. Last season, Nolan Gorman had an average launch angle of 21.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 25.6°. Nolan Gorman's 17.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 97th percentile this year.

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage today. Last season, Nolan Gorman had an average launch angle of 21.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 25.6°. Nolan Gorman's 17.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 97th percentile this year.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Willson Contreras will have the handedness advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup. Willson Contreras will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Willson Contreras will have the handedness advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup. Willson Contreras will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ben Rortvedt Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

B. Rortvedt
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have the upper hand today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Placing in the 91st percentile, Ben Rortvedt has notched a .354 BABIP this year.

Ben Rortvedt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have the upper hand today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Placing in the 91st percentile, Ben Rortvedt has notched a .354 BABIP this year.

Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Burleson
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Alec Burleson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Alec Burleson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph of late.

Alec Burleson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Alec Burleson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Alec Burleson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph of late.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Caballero
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Jose Caballero has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 89.6-mph. Jose Caballero's launch angle of late (24.5° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 13.1° seasonal mark.

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Jose Caballero has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 89.6-mph. Jose Caballero's launch angle of late (24.5° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 13.1° seasonal mark.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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