San Francisco @ Washington Picks & Props

The #2 field in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Heliot Ramos will have a tough matchup today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Heliot Ramos in today's matchup. Heliot Ramos has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 16.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 11.1% in the past week. Heliot Ramos has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph dropping to 81-mph over the past 7 days.

CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. CJ Abrams will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, CJ Abrams's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 95.1-mph recently.

The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Brett Wisely will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brett Wisely's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 20.1% on the season to 43.8% in the past two weeks. Ranking in the 75th percentile, Brett Wisely sits with a .319 BABIP this year.

When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today's matchup. James Wood's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 48.5% on the season to 63% in the last two weeks.

Marco Luciano's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. Marco Luciano has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Marco Luciano has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 4% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 7 days. Marco Luciano has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 89.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 87-mph average.

Juan Yepez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Juan Yepez will have the handedness advantage against Blake Snell today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Juan Yepez will hold that advantage today. With a .265 batting average since the start of last season, Juan Yepez is ranked in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Tyler Fitzgerald has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 12.6% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the last two weeks. Tyler Fitzgerald has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 93.1-mph. Over the past 14 days, Tyler Fitzgerald's 59.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 51.1%.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin in today's game.

Alex Call has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Alex Call will hold the platoon advantage over Blake Snell today. Alex Call will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. In the past week, Alex Call's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.9-mph over the course of the season to 103.8-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jerar Encarnacion in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Jerar Encarnacion has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jerar Encarnacion has been hot of late, tallying a .386 wOBA in the last week. In the last week's worth of games, Jerar Encarnacion has displayed impressive power, recording a a 40% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power).

Patrick Bailey is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Patrick Bailey has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year's 88.7-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Jacob Young will have an edge today. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Riley Adams has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage today. Riley Adams can really hit the cover off the ball. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.8 mph) rate him as one of MLB's best: in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.

Ildemaro Vargas is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Blake Snell today. Ildemaro Vargas will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Ildemaro Vargas has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 90th percentile with a 1.58 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an advantage in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Over the last 14 days, Matt Chapman has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 13% to 23.3%. Matt Chapman has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 99.2-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 92.8-mph average.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an edge in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Mike Yastrzemski has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 93.8-mph. Sporting a .320 BABIP this year, Mike Yastrzemski grades out in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Ramirez as the 19th-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability. Harold Ramirez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Harold Ramirez will have an edge today. Harold Ramirez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, LaVictor Lipscomb will have the upper hand in today's matchup. LaVictor Lipscomb has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and LaVictor Lipscomb will hold that advantage today. LaVictor Lipscomb has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .209 rate is considerably lower than his .230 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.