New York @ Chicago Picks & Props

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today. Miguel Vargas is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of New York (#2-worst of all teams today). Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Giancarlo Stanton in today's matchup. Sporting a 4.08 K/BB rate this year, Giancarlo Stanton has displayed poor plate discipline, placing in the 17th percentile.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Aaron Judge will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Aaron Judge's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 26.8% down to 20.8%. Aaron Judge has been lucky this year, putting up a .474 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .427 — a .047 discrepancy.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Hitting from the same side that Ky Bush throws from, Juan Soto has a tough challenge in today's game. Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Over the past 7 days, Juan Soto's 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.7%.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Ky Bush will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Verdugo in today's game. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alex Verdugo in today's matchup. Placing in the 22nd percentile, Alex Verdugo has put up a .268 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Luis Robert is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today. Luis Robert will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 13th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.5% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last 7 days. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 97.2-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have the upper hand today. Andrew Benintendi has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP. Andrew Benintendi has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Andrew Vaughn has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 12th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage today.

Riley Baldwin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 12th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Riley Baldwin will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 12th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Korey Lee will hold that advantage in today's game. Korey Lee has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph to 94.4-mph over the past 14 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.238) implies that Korey Lee has had bad variance on his side this year with his .217 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Hitting from the opposite that Ky Bush throws from, DJ LeMahieu will have an edge in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 13th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox. DJ LeMahieu has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.4-mph EV.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. Dominic Fletcher will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Gil in today's matchup. Dominic Fletcher may have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 12th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Dominic Fletcher will hold that advantage in today's game.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 12th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Corey Julks will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Last season, Corey Julks had an average launch angle of 8.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 15.3°. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher BABIP, and Corey Julks's 26.3° mark (86th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Austin Wells is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 13th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox. Austin Wells has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 89.1-mph figure.

Anthony Volpe's BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Ky Bush throws from, Anthony Volpe will have an edge in today's game. Anthony Volpe has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 13th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox. Anthony Volpe has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.1-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.1-mph.

Nicky Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Nicky Lopez will have an edge in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nicky Lopez stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 12th-worst out of all the teams playing today.

Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Lenyn Sosa has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 12th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage today. Lenyn Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 17.3% on the season to 14.3% in the last week's worth of games.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Ky Bush throws from, Gleyber Torres will have the upper hand today. Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 13th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox. In the last 14 days, Gleyber Torres's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.4%.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today's game. Gavin Sheets is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 12th-worst out of all the teams playing today.