Washington @ Baltimore Picks & Props

In the past week, Ryan Mountcastle's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%. In the past 14 days, Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 93.9 mph to 86.3 mph. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ryan Mountcastle's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-4.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.7°. Ryan Mountcastle has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 20th percentile with a 3.92 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Yepez in the 24th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Batting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Juan Yepez will be in a tough position in today's game. Juan Yepez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Juan Yepez today. Juan Yepez's launch angle lately (4.9° over the past 14 days) is considerably worse than his 8.2° seasonal figure.

Eloy Jimenez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today. When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Eloy Jimenez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time. Eloy Jimenez has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Eloy Jimenez's launch angle this year (2.6°) is considerably lower than his 5.8° mark last season. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Eloy Jimenez's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.5%.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in MLB for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best hitter in baseball. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in MLB for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Gunnar Henderson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jackson Holliday's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in MLB for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jackson Holliday will hold that advantage in today's game.

Luis Garcia has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Garcia in today's matchup. Luis Garcia has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Luis Garcia's launch angle in recent games (-1.8° in the past 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 8.5° seasonal angle. Luis Garcia has been lucky this year, putting up a .337 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .021 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 19th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in MLB for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage today. Colton Cowser's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (22.1° in the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 16.4° seasonal mark.

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in MLB for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 field in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 field in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Anthony Santander will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Anthony Santander has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 field in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against DJ Herz.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in MLB for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Dean Kremer. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in MLB for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Ildemaro Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. In the last week's worth of games, Ildemaro Vargas's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87-mph over the course of the season to 94.8-mph lately.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Austin Slater is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Slater is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 field in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Austin Slater will hold the platoon advantage against DJ Herz today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 field in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Alex Call hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. Alex Call has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile with a 1.5 K/BB rate.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 field in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, James McCann will have the upper hand in today's game. James McCann hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. James McCann will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 field in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage against DJ Herz in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Coby Mayo will hold that advantage in today's game.