Arizona @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field ranks as the #27 field in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Yandy Diaz will have a disadvantage in today's game. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (0.4°) is significantly worse than his 4.9° mark last year. Yandy Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, going from 39% on the season to 11.8% over the past 7 days.

Among all major league parks, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Dylan Carlson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Dylan Carlson's launch angle in recent games (29.3° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 17.2° seasonal figure. Last year, Dylan Carlson had an average launch angle of 15° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 23°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in the majors are found in Tropicana Field. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Pepiot today. Corbin Carroll has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Corbin Carroll has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.2-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 92.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jake McCarthy has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Jake McCarthy's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.5% up to 10%.

Ben Rortvedt will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today. Ben Rortvedt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Ben Rortvedt will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Ben Rortvedt has notched a .357 BABIP this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Adrian Del Castillo will have an edge today. Adrian Del Castillo has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Adrian Del Castillo has been hot lately, batting his way to a .478 wOBA in the past week. In the past week, Adrian Del Castillo has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power). Adrian Del Castillo has been lifting the ball well lately, notching a 28.8° launch angle over the past week.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Josh Bell has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Josh Bell has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 92.1-mph in the last two weeks. Josh Bell's launch angle this year (11.9°) is quite a bit better than his 8.7° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in the majors are found in Tropicana Field. There has been a significant improvement in Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s launch angle from last season's 10.7° to 15.8° this season.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (37.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Eugenio Suarez has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 25.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.2°.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Joc Pederson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Joc Pederson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Joc Pederson has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.4% seasonal rate to 29.2% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Christopher Morel will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Among all major league parks, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Taylor Walls has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 86.3-mph EV. Taylor Walls's launch angle of late (32.5° over the last 7 days) is significantly higher than his 17.5° seasonal figure. Taylor Walls has shown strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 88th percentile with a 1.75 K/BB rate.

Among all major league parks, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last year's 87.1-mph mark. Over the last two weeks, Geraldo Perdomo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.4-mph lately. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 13.1% on the season to 31.3% over the past week. With a 2.07 K/BB rate this year, Geraldo Perdomo has shown favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Jose Caballero will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jose Caballero's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph recently. Jose Caballero's launch angle of late (23.9° in the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 14.1° seasonal angle.

Among all major league parks, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Kameron Misner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage in today's game.