Arizona @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field profiles as the #27 field in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, Ketel Marte's 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Among all parks, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage today. Junior Caminero has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the last week — 116.3-mph — which is a favorable measure of recent form and raw power.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Jose Herrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Jeffrey Springs in today's game. Jose Herrera pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. With a 2.2 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jose Herrera has demonstrated good plate discipline, grading out in the 76th percentile.

Among all major league stadiums, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the 6th-shallowest. Dylan Carlson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Dylan Carlson has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.7° figure in the past week. Dylan Carlson's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (23°) is considerably better than his 15° angle last season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dylan Carlson's true offensive ability to be a .308, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .037 gap between that mark and his actual .271 wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Josh Bell has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Josh Bell has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 92.7-mph over the last 14 days. There has been a significant improvement in Josh Bell's launch angle from last season's 8.7° to 11.9° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 14th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Yandy Diaz will hold that advantage in today's game. Yandy Diaz has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 92.3-mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Christopher Morel ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Christopher Morel will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Christopher Morel has been unlucky this year, posting a .288 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .035 disparity.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Brandon Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's game. Brandon Lowe will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Brandon Lowe has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.6-mph average.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Corbin Carroll has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 92.1-mph. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corbin Carroll's true offensive talent to be a .331, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .028 deviation between that mark and his actual .303 wOBA. Corbin Carroll has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 85th percentile with a 1.79 K/BB rate.

Among all major league stadiums, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the 6th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage today. Taylor Walls has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 3.3% seasonal rate to 8.3% in the last two weeks. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.5°, Taylor Walls has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.9° figure in the last two weeks' worth of games. Taylor Walls has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 89th percentile with a 1.75 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Among all parks, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an advantage in today's matchup. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s launch angle this year (15.8°) is a significant increase over his 10.7° figure last year.

Kevin Newman will hold the platoon advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup. Kevin Newman has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Kevin Newman has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 88.4-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 85.6-mph. Placing in the 81st percentile, Kevin Newman has posted a .271 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jake McCarthy is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Jake McCarthy has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Jake McCarthy's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.9-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph lately. Last season, Jake McCarthy had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16°.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage over Jeffrey Springs in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Eugenio Suarez has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 24.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.2°.

Ben Rortvedt will hold the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Ben Rortvedt has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage in today's game. By putting up a .357 BABIP this year, Ben Rortvedt is ranked in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Randal Grichuk will have the upper hand in today's game. Randal Grichuk pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. This season, Randal Grichuk has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.9 mph compared to last year's 90.4 mph mark.

Among all parks, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will get to bat from his strong side against Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last season's 87.1-mph mark. In the past two weeks, Geraldo Perdomo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.4-mph recently. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 13.1% on the season to 25% in the last two weeks.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Alex Jackson will hold that advantage in today's game. Alex Jackson has been unlucky this year, notching a .191 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .279 — a .088 deviation. This year, Alex Jackson's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 75th percentile at 93.9 mph.