Seattle @ Los Angeles Picks & Props
SEA vs LAD Picks
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SEA vs LAD Consensus Picks
65% picking LA Dodgers
Total PicksSEA 296, LAD 538
SEA vs LAD Props
Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Seattle
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Jorge Polanco's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 17.7% on the season to 28.6% in the past two weeks.
Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Bryan Woo will have the handedness advantage against Mookie Betts in today's matchup... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Woo's large platoon split. Mookie Betts has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 12.5% rate last season has dropped off to 6% this year.
Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Tommy Edman's batting average talent is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today's game.
Dylan Moore Total Hits Props • Seattle
Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Over the last 14 days, Dylan Moore has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 38.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 17.3°.
Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Seattle
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Randy Arozarena has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph EV.
Josh Rojas Total Hits Props • Seattle
Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Josh Rojas will have an advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Josh Rojas has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 29.3° angle over the past 14 days. Sporting a 2.08 K/BB rate this year, Josh Rojas has shown good plate discipline, placing in the 75th percentile.
Shohei Ohtani Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The Seattle Mariners projected offense ranks as the weakest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill. It may be smart to expect positive regression for the Seattle Mariners offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year. Dan Iassogna projects as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches today. Dodger Stadium projects as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.
Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
When estimating his batting average ability, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 5th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Freddie Freeman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split.
Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle
Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Cal Raleigh has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last year's 89.6-mph average. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.3°, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 37.3° figure over the last 7 days. Cal Raleigh has posted a .343 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Seattle
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Luke Raley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Over the last week, Luke Raley's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.7% up to 28.6%.
Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Kike Hernandez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kike Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kike Hernandez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph EV.
Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
When it comes to his BABIP ability, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Teoscar Hernandez has compiled a .348 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 86th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Max Muncy will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Muncy stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Muncy's launch angle this season (28°) is quite a bit higher than his 21.8° figure last season.
Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Seattle
Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Justin Turner has shown favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 89th percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate.
Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle
Gavin Stone will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez today. The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team today. Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Julio Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 93.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 84.6-mph over the last 14 days. Julio Rodriguez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (1.8° over the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 8.7° seasonal mark.
Dominic Canzone Total Hits Props • Seattle
Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an edge in today's matchup. Dominic Canzone has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 95.5-mph in the last week's worth of games.
Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Gavin Lux will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo today... and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Lux stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Victor Robles Total Hits Props • Seattle
Victor Robles is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Victor Robles's launch angle of late (26.6° over the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 17.1° seasonal figure. Checking in at the 88th percentile, Victor Robles has put up a .339 BABIP since the start of last season.
Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo in today's game... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Miguel Rojas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Miguel Rojas's 61.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.1%. By putting up a 1.84 K/BB rate this year, Miguel Rojas has displayed favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 83rd percentile. Grading out in the 86th percentile, Miguel Rojas has put up a .281 batting average this year.
Leonardo Rivas Total Hits Props • Seattle
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Leonardo Rivas's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 60.9% on the season to 80% in the last week's worth of games.
SEA vs LAD Trends
Seattle Trends
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 52 of their last 92 games (+7.15 Units / 6% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 away games (+5.20 Units / 20% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 34 away games (+3.75 Units / 9% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 60 away games (-23.10 Units / -28% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 48 away games (-19.05 Units / -36% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-19.00 Units / -28% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 92 games (-18.25 Units / -17% ROI)
Los Angeles Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 51 games at home (+7.50 Units / 13% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 44% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.15 Units / 22% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+5.85 Units / 24% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 51 games at home (-15.05 Units / -24% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 81 games (-14.70 Units / -15% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 58 games at home (-14.55 Units / -23% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 68 games (-14.15 Units / -18% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 87 games (-11.70 Units / -10% ROI)
SEA vs LAD Top User Picks
Seattle Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PaPe454 | 6-4-0 | +19444 |
| 2 | dotlife162 | 9-1-0 | +19315 |
| 3 | Roundrobinking | 6-4-0 | +17515 |
| 4 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +15505 |
| 5 | KingScorpio | 3-7-0 | +15095 |
| 6 | regger22 | 6-4-0 | +13250 |
| 7 | jr5601 | 4-5-1 | +12525 |
| 8 | adon131 | 5-5-0 | +12520 |
| 9 | CJONES1068 | 7-3-0 | +11975 |
| 10 | fragma8023 | 6-4-0 | +11743 |
| All Mariners Money Leaders | |||
LA Dodgers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||