Detroit @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Kerry Carpenter is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP. Kerry Carpenter has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.4-mph figure. Compared to last year, Kerry Carpenter has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.1% to 28.3% this season.

Colt Keith's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colt Keith is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Colt Keith will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP. Colt Keith has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Brant Hurter... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Hurter's large platoon split. Among all the teams today, the 12th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jace Jung is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP. Jace Jung has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 71.4% of the time over the last 7 days.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Riley Greene has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Riley Greene has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for home runs. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Zach McKinstry has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. In the last week's worth of games, Zach McKinstry's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph of late. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.6°, Zach McKinstry has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.5° figure in the last 7 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Brant Hurter will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Busch in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Hurter's large platoon split. Among all the teams today, the 12th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the league, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among all the teams today, the 12th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Dansby Swanson will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among all the teams today, the 12th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Miguel Amaya will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Miguel Amaya has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 4.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 7 days. Miguel Amaya has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 91.6-mph.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (45.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 12th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, Javier Baez will have the upper hand in today's game. Javier Baez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Javier Baez's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 34.5%. Javier Baez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .226 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .069 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Brant Hurter will hold the platoon advantage over Cody Bellinger in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Hurter's large platoon split. Among all the teams today, the 12th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In the league, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among all the teams today, the 12th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Nico Hoerner's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among all the teams today, the 12th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Nico Hoerner will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Nico Hoerner has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .254 BA is a good deal lower than his .286 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Matt Vierling will have the handedness advantage over Justin Steele in today's game. Last season, Matt Vierling had an average launch angle of 3.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 8.5°.

In the league, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, Dillon Dingler will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Because of Brant Hurter's large platoon split, Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 12th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jake Rogers is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, Jake Rogers will have an advantage today. Jake Rogers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the last 7 days, Jake Rogers's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.9% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Spencer Torkelson will have the handedness advantage against Justin Steele today. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

Andy Ibanez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. In the league, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Andy Ibanez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Steele in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Andy Ibanez's launch angle from last year's 12.6° to 20.6° this season.