New York @ San Diego Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. Hitting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jeff McNeil has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 3% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last week.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 15.4% on the season to 37.5% over the past week.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Joe Musgrove in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. Over the last 7 days, Francisco Lindor's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.3% up to 31.6%. Francisco Lindor has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 94.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. Pete Alonso has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.5-mph average.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Blackburn throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. J.D. Martinez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.1-mph figure. Over the last 14 days, J.D. Martinez's 23.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.8%.

Starling Marte's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. Starling Marte has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year's 88.1-mph figure. Starling Marte's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 42.4% to 50.3%.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage today. Posting a .359 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Jurickson Profar is positioned in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability.

The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. Mason McCoy will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The #4 stadium in the game for suppressing base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.6-mph average last season has lowered to 87.4-mph. In the past week, Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 87.4 mph to 84.6 mph.

The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Blackburn throws from, Tyler Wade will have an edge today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tyler Wade stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Tyler Wade will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Mark Vientos is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Mark Vientos has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.7% rate last year to 15.7% this year.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game.

The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Higashioka has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.9-mph EV. In the past week's worth of games, Kyle Higashioka's 100% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. David Peralta will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Blackburn today. David Peralta is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage against Paul Blackburn today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Jose Iglesias's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. Grading out in the 94th percentile, Jose Iglesias has put up a .373 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Jose Iglesias has notched a .336 batting average this year, grading out in the 98th percentile.

The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 75%. Francisco Alvarez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 89.8-mph. Checking in at the 81st percentile, Francisco Alvarez sits with a .325 BABIP this year.