Yankee Stadium
Charlie Blackmon is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Charlie Blackmon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage against Marcus Stroman today. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 46.1% to 52%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 2nd-worst field in baseball for right-handed BABIP. Yankee Stadium has the 5th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-least humidity on the slate today at 36%. Bradley Blalock will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Batting from the opposite that Bradley Blalock throws from, Alex Verdugo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP. Alex Verdugo will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Alex Verdugo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .226 figure is a good deal lower than his .264 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage against Marcus Stroman in today's game. Despite posting a .273 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nolan Jones has had some very poor luck given the .039 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312. Nolan Jones has put up a .346 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile.
Michael Toglia pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Michael Toglia has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last season's 91-mph average. In the past 14 days, Michael Toglia's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.1-mph lately. In notching a .341 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Michael Toglia is positioned in the 81st percentile for offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Bradley Blalock in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Drew Romo pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Ezequiel Tovar's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. There has been a significant improvement in Ezequiel Tovar's launch angle from last season's 12.3° to 18.5° this year. In the last 14 days, Ezequiel Tovar's 61.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.5%. Ezequiel Tovar has notched a .331 BABIP this year, grading out in the 86th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Batting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Jake Cave will have the upper hand today.
Brendan Rodgers's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brendan Rodgers is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Brendan Rodgers has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph mark. In the past 14 days, Brendan Rodgers's 19.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 10.9%. With a .270 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Brendan Rodgers finds himself in the 80th percentile.
Brenton Doyle's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brenton Doyle is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Brenton Doyle has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Brenton Doyle's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 13.7% to 18.9%. In the last 14 days, Brenton Doyle's 54.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Gleyber Torres has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gleyber Torres's true offensive talent to be a .326, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .031 disparity between that mark and his actual .295 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games today at 84°. Jordan Beck has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. In the past 14 days, Jordan Beck has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 27.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.8°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Rice in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Benjamin Rice will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bradley Blalock today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Benjamin Rice has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Benjamin Rice will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Benjamin Rice has experienced some negative variance this year. His .283 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .333.
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bradley Blalock in today's matchup. Juan Soto has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Anthony Volpe has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Hitting from the opposite that Bradley Blalock throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand today. Trent Grisham has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Trent Grisham's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 15.7% to 22%. Trent Grisham's 11.9% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 84th percentile this year.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 84°. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 94.3-mph figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Austin Wells is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Batting from the opposite that Bradley Blalock throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's game. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Austin Wells can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Austin Wells will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
