Toronto @ Boston Picks & Props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to less offense. This game is expected to have the 5th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the same side that Josh Winckowski throws from, Alejandro Kirk will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Over the last week, Alejandro Kirk's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph recently.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to less offense. This game is expected to have the 5th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the same side that Josh Winckowski throws from, George Springer has a tough challenge in today's matchup. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. In the past week, George Springer's 17.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.8%.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to less offense. This game is expected to have the 5th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the same side that Josh Winckowski throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle this year (6.9°) is significantly lower than his 10.2° mark last season.

Ernie Clement is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to less offense. This game is expected to have the 5th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the same side that Josh Winckowski throws from, Ernie Clement will have a tough matchup in today's game. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ernie Clement today.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to less offense. This game is expected to have the 5th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Out of every team today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. In the last two weeks, Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 93.7 mph to 90.8 mph. Despite posting a .365 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has experienced some positive variance given the .029 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .336.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Triston Casas is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #6 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Triston Casas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Fenway Park projects as the #6 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Fenway Park projects as the #6 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last week, David Hamilton's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 14.3%.

Will Wagner's batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park projects as the #6 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Zack Kelly throws from, Will Wagner will have an advantage in today's game. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Will Wagner has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Fenway Park projects as the #6 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand today. Masataka Yoshida has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Masataka Yoshida will hold that advantage today.

Fenway Park projects as the #6 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Mickey Gasper pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Mickey Gasper will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The #6 venue in the league for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Connor Wong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. By putting up a .347 BABIP this year, Connor Wong is positioned in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #6 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Fenway Park projects as the #6 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Steward Berroa pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 13th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.99 ft/sec this year, Steward Berroa is very athletic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Fenway Park projects as the #6 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Zack Kelly throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage today. Spencer Horwitz is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #6 venue in the league for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Tyler O'Neill pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #6 venue in the league for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph to 90.5-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Joey Loperfido's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Loperfido has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #6 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Joey Loperfido will have the handedness advantage against Josh Winckowski in today's game. Joey Loperfido hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #6 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Kelly in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho may have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Addison Barger has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #6 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage over Josh Winckowski today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 13th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #6 venue in the league for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Davis Schneider pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 13th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. In the past 7 days, Davis Schneider's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.5% down to 0%.