MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 16, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

New York Mets logo NYM @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Wed, Apr 15 • 10:10 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
New York Mets logo Los Angeles Dodgers logo u8.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Dodgers starter Shoehi Ohtani has been pitching at an elite level. He has allowed just five hits and one run (none earned) through 12 innings this year. He'll shut down a Mets lineup that has been beyond terrible since losing Juan Soto to an injury. The Mets have an OPS of just .473 over the last seven days with Bo Bichette, Marcus Semien, and Francisco Lindor all struggling to make contact. Meanwhile, Mets starter Clay Holmes has been solid this season (1.50 ERA, 3.59 xERA), and both teams have strong bullpens that rank in the top 8 of the majors in ERA and WHIP. 

Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD -1.5 (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Dodgers are giving the pill to two-way superstar Shohei Ohtani tonight. Ohtani has allowed just five hits and one run (none earned) through 12 innings this year. Ohtani also anchors an offense that leads the majors in OPS (.838), with that number surging to .912 over the last week. They'll get to Mets righty Clay Holmes who has a 4.08 FIP in 34 starts since moving to the rotation last year. The Mets are 28th in the majors in OPS (.625) with that dropping to .473 over the last seven days with Juan Soto sidelined. The Mets don't have the bats to keep up the Dodgers firepower.

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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Thu, Apr 16 • 12:35 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Strikeouts Thrown
Braxton Ashcraft logo
Braxton Ashcraft o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-114)
Projection 5.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Braxton Ashcraft in the 75th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.. Braxton Ashcraft's 96.2-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 92nd percentile out of all starters.. Among all starting pitchers, Braxton Ashcraft's fastball spin rate of 2420.9 rpm is in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.. Braxton Ashcraft has notched an 11.8% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season, placing in the 76th percentile.. Grading out in the 78th percentile, Braxton Ashcraft has notched a 25.8% Strikeout% since the start of last season.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Thu, Apr 16 • 3:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 2.16
Best Odds
Pick made: 40 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Sutter Health Park profiles as the #4 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.13
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Sutter Health Park profiles as the #4 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Thu, Apr 16 • 6:10 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Strikeouts Thrown
Shane Baz logo
Shane Baz u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
Projection 4.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Shane Baz has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, notching a 9.33 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.82 — a 0.51 K/9 disparity.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ San Diego Padres logo SD Thu, Apr 16 • 8:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-118)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Right-hander Luis Castillo has had the Padres’ number over the years, limiting San Diego hitters to a .206 batting average and .521 OPS. With the Mariners’ offense set to face the sputtering Walker Buehler, expect Seattle to prevail at Petco.

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