LIVE top 9th Sep 13
HOU 5 -214 o8.5
LAA 3 +193 u8.5
LIVE top 8th Sep 13
MIL 2 +113 o8.5
AZ 1 -122 u8.5
LIVE bottom 6th Sep 13
TEX 3 -134 o7.0
SEA 0 +123 u7.0
LIVE bottom 6th Sep 13
SD 4 -115 o7.0
SF 0 +106 u7.0
Final Sep 13
NYM 11 +138 o8.0
PHI 3 -150 u8.0
Final Sep 13
KC 8 -103 o8.5
PIT 3 -106 u8.5
Final Sep 13
BAL 0 -124 o8.0
DET 1 +114 u8.0
Final Sep 13
MIA 1 +124 o8.0
WAS 4 -135 u8.0
Final Sep 13
BOS 4 +157 o9.0
NYY 5 -172 u9.0
Final (11) Sep 13
STL 3 +118 o7.5
TOR 4 -128 u7.5
Final Sep 13
TB 3 +166 o7.5
CLE 1 -182 u7.5
Final Sep 13
LAD 2 -106 o8.5
ATL 6 -102 u8.5
Final Sep 13
OAK 2 -137 o7.5
CHW 0 +126 u7.5
Final Sep 13
CIN 8 +212 o8.5
MIN 4 -235 u8.5
Final Sep 13
CHC 5 -139 o10.5
COL 9 +128 u10.5

Texas @ Chicago props

Guaranteed Rate Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Miguel Vargas Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

M. Vargas
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Vargas's true offensive ability to be a .318, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .065 gap between that figure and his actual .253 wOBA.

Miguel Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Vargas's true offensive ability to be a .318, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .065 gap between that figure and his actual .253 wOBA.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Projection Rating

Marcus Semien will hold the platoon advantage against Ky Bush in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Marcus Semien generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Nastrini. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Marcus Semien today. In the last 7 days, Marcus Semien's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 90.5 mph to 84 mph. Marcus Semien's launch angle lately (-2° in the last week's worth of games) is significantly worse than his 16.3° seasonal mark.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Marcus Semien will hold the platoon advantage against Ky Bush in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Marcus Semien generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Nastrini. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Marcus Semien today. In the last 7 days, Marcus Semien's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 90.5 mph to 84 mph. Marcus Semien's launch angle lately (-2° in the last week's worth of games) is significantly worse than his 16.3° seasonal mark.

Robbie Grossman Total Hits Props • Texas

R. Grossman
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Robbie Grossman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Robbie Grossman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Ky Bush in this game. Robbie Grossman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. By putting up a 1.55 K/BB rate this year, Robbie Grossman has shown good plate discipline, placing in the 93rd percentile.

Robbie Grossman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Robbie Grossman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Robbie Grossman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Ky Bush in this game. Robbie Grossman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. By putting up a 1.55 K/BB rate this year, Robbie Grossman has shown good plate discipline, placing in the 93rd percentile.

Luis Robert Jr. Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Robert Jr.
center outfield CF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

Luis Robert's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Robert is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Luis Robert pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Luis Robert will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Luis Robert Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Luis Robert's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Robert is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Luis Robert pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Luis Robert will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Texas

N. Lowe
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Ky Bush will have the handedness advantage over Nathaniel Lowe in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Ky Bush will have the handedness advantage over Nathaniel Lowe in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Andrew Benintendi Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Benintendi
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Andrew Benintendi will have the handedness advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Andrew Benintendi has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Andrew Benintendi

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Andrew Benintendi will have the handedness advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Andrew Benintendi has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Josh Jung Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Jung
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Josh Jung is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Josh Jung has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past week. In the past week, Josh Jung's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

Josh Jung

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Josh Jung is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Josh Jung has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past week. In the past week, Josh Jung's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage in today's game.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage in today's game.

Wyatt Langford Total Hits Props • Texas

W. Langford
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Wyatt Langford has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.8% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last two weeks. In the past two weeks, Wyatt Langford's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 97.6-mph lately.

Wyatt Langford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Wyatt Langford has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.8% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last two weeks. In the past two weeks, Wyatt Langford's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 97.6-mph lately.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-220
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-220
Projection Rating

Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Corey Seager's launch angle recently (1.3° in the last 7 days) is considerably lower than his 13° seasonal mark.

Corey Seager

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Corey Seager's launch angle recently (1.3° in the last 7 days) is considerably lower than his 13° seasonal mark.

Korey Lee Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

K. Lee
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Korey Lee will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) provides evidence that Korey Lee has been unlucky this year with his .215 actual batting average.

Korey Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Korey Lee will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) provides evidence that Korey Lee has been unlucky this year with his .215 actual batting average.

Adolis García Total Hits Props • Texas

A. García
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Adolis Garcia has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Adolis García

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Adolis Garcia has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Lenyn Sosa Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Sosa
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Lenyn Sosa has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage today. Lenyn Sosa's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 90.7-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 86.3-mph in the past 7 days. Lenyn Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 46.3% to 52.3%.

Lenyn Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Lenyn Sosa has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage today. Lenyn Sosa's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 90.7-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 86.3-mph in the past 7 days. Lenyn Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 46.3% to 52.3%.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas

L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Leody Taveras's launch angle this season (13.1°) is considerably higher than his 9.9° angle last season. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.1°, Leody Taveras has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 38.3° angle over the past week.

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Leody Taveras's launch angle this season (13.1°) is considerably higher than his 9.9° angle last season. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.1°, Leody Taveras has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 38.3° angle over the past week.

Nicky Lopez Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

N. Lopez
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Nicky Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Nicky Lopez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Nicky Lopez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Nicky Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nicky Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Nicky Lopez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Nicky Lopez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Gavin Sheets Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

G. Sheets
right outfield RF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Projection Rating

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today.

Gavin Sheets

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today.

Josh H. Smith Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Smith
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Ky Bush will hold the platoon advantage against Josh Smith in today's game. Josh Smith pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.8°, Josh Smith has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 29° figure over the last two weeks.

Josh H. Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Ky Bush will hold the platoon advantage against Josh Smith in today's game. Josh Smith pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.8°, Josh Smith has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 29° figure over the last two weeks.

Brooks Baldwin Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

B. Baldwin
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Brooks Baldwin will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Brooks Baldwin has been unlucky this year, notching a .253 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .039 disparity.

Brooks Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Brooks Baldwin will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Brooks Baldwin has been unlucky this year, notching a .253 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .039 disparity.

Dominic Fletcher Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

D. Fletcher
right outfield RF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Dominic Fletcher will have an advantage today. Dominic Fletcher has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Dominic Fletcher will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Dominic Fletcher's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 22.4% on the season to 36.4% in the last 7 days.

Dominic Fletcher

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Dominic Fletcher will have an advantage today. Dominic Fletcher has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Dominic Fletcher will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Dominic Fletcher's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 22.4% on the season to 36.4% in the last 7 days.

Ezequiel Duran Total Hits Props • Texas

E. Duran
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Ky Bush throws from, Ezequiel Duran will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ezequiel Duran has suffered from bad luck given the .038 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

Ezequiel Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Ky Bush throws from, Ezequiel Duran will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ezequiel Duran has suffered from bad luck given the .038 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Jonah Heim pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonah Heim has had some very poor luck given the .021 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .292.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Jonah Heim pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonah Heim has had some very poor luck given the .021 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .292.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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