LIVE bottom 9th Sep 19
ATL 15 -214 o9.0
CIN 3 +194 u9.0
LIVE 10th Sep 19
MIN 2 -111 o8.0
CLE 2 +103 u8.0
LIVE top 7th Sep 19
TOR 2 +122 o7.5
TEX 0 -132 u7.5
LIVE top 1st Sep 19
NYY 0 +111 o7.0
SEA 0 -120 u7.0
LAD -195 o8.0
MIA +178 u8.0
BOS -112 o8.0
TB +104 u8.0
AZ -118 o8.0
MIL +109 u8.0
PHI +124 o8.0
NYM -135 u8.0
PIT +126 o8.5
STL -137 u8.5
WAS +148 o9.0
CHC -162 u9.0
LAA +255 o8.5
HOU -287 u8.5
Final Sep 19
SF 3 +142 o7.0
BAL 5 -155 u7.0
Marquee Sports Network, MASN

Chicago @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

N. Hoerner
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-233
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-233
Projection Rating

Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in baseball for righty base hits. Nico Hoerner will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 87.2-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 80.9-mph in the last 14 days. Nico Hoerner's launch angle recently (4.4° in the last week's worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.9° seasonal figure.

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in baseball for righty base hits. Nico Hoerner will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 87.2-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 80.9-mph in the last 14 days. Nico Hoerner's launch angle recently (4.4° in the last week's worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.9° seasonal figure.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Pete Crow-Armstrong has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.4% seasonal rate to 13.3% over the last two weeks. Pete Crow-Armstrong's launch angle of late (22.4° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 17.4° seasonal mark.

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Pete Crow-Armstrong has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.4% seasonal rate to 13.3% over the last two weeks. Pete Crow-Armstrong's launch angle of late (22.4° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 17.4° seasonal mark.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-204
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-204
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in baseball for righty base hits. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Seiya Suzuki in today's matchup. Seiya Suzuki's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 91.6-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 85.3-mph in the last 7 days. In terms of his batting average, Seiya Suzuki has been lucky this year. His .274 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .237.

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in baseball for righty base hits. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Seiya Suzuki in today's matchup. Seiya Suzuki's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 91.6-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 85.3-mph in the last 7 days. In terms of his batting average, Seiya Suzuki has been lucky this year. His .274 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .237.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. CJ Abrams may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. CJ Abrams may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Michael Busch's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (24.2° in the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 18.6° seasonal figure. Sporting a .335 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Michael Busch grades out in the 75th percentile. Placing in the 93rd percentile, Michael Busch sports a .342 BABIP this year.

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Michael Busch's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (24.2° in the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 18.6° seasonal figure. Sporting a .335 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Michael Busch grades out in the 75th percentile. Placing in the 93rd percentile, Michael Busch sports a .342 BABIP this year.

Jose Tena Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Tena
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jose Tena has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (71% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Jose Tena may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jose Tena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jose Tena has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (71% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Jose Tena may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-233
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-233
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in baseball for righty base hits. Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Dansby Swanson's launch angle recently (5.1° in the last 14 days) is considerably worse than his 9.5° seasonal angle.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in baseball for righty base hits. Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Dansby Swanson's launch angle recently (5.1° in the last 14 days) is considerably worse than his 9.5° seasonal angle.

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Wood
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 7th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent. James Wood is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. James Wood may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 7th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent. James Wood is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. James Wood may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.

Cody Bellinger Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

C. Bellinger
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Cody Bellinger has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.4-mph figure.

Cody Bellinger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Cody Bellinger has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.4-mph figure.

Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Garcia Jr.
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Luis Garcia will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Luis Garcia Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Luis Garcia will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Crews
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Dylan Crews is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Jameson Taillon will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Crews in today's matchup. Dylan Crews will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Dylan Crews has displayed impressive power, recording a a 27.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power).

Dylan Crews

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Dylan Crews is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Jameson Taillon will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Crews in today's matchup. Dylan Crews will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Dylan Crews has displayed impressive power, recording a a 27.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power).

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this season (19.8°) is quite a bit better than his 15.1° angle last season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz's true offensive ability to be a .291, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .031 gap between that mark and his actual .260 wOBA.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this season (19.8°) is quite a bit better than his 15.1° angle last season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz's true offensive ability to be a .291, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .031 gap between that mark and his actual .260 wOBA.

Miguel Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Amaya
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Miguel Amaya will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's game. Miguel Amaya has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Miguel Amaya has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 5.1% seasonal rate to 13.8% over the last 14 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.4°, Miguel Amaya has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 19.6° figure over the past two weeks.

Miguel Amaya

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Miguel Amaya will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's game. Miguel Amaya has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Miguel Amaya has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 5.1% seasonal rate to 13.8% over the last 14 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.4°, Miguel Amaya has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 19.6° figure over the past two weeks.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

I. Paredes
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Isaac Paredes will have an edge in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (21.2°) is significantly better than his 18° figure last year. In terms of plate discipline, Isaac Paredes's ability is quite strong, posting a 1.37 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 94th percentile.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Isaac Paredes will have an edge in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (21.2°) is significantly better than his 18° figure last year. In terms of plate discipline, Isaac Paredes's ability is quite strong, posting a 1.37 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 94th percentile.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Ian Happ has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 95.4-mph. Compared to last season, Ian Happ has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.1% to 21.2% this season.

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Ian Happ has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 95.4-mph. Compared to last season, Ian Happ has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.1% to 21.2% this season.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Batting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Jacob Young has a tough challenge in today's game. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jacob Young will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Batting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Jacob Young has a tough challenge in today's game. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jacob Young will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington

I. Vargas
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Jameson Taillon today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage today. Ildemaro Vargas has displayed strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 89th percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate.

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Jameson Taillon today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage today. Ildemaro Vargas has displayed strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 89th percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate.

Juan Yepez Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Yepez
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Juan Yepez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Batting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Juan Yepez faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Juan Yepez will hold that advantage today. Juan Yepez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5% seasonal rate to 10% in the past two weeks.

Juan Yepez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Juan Yepez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Batting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Juan Yepez faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Juan Yepez will hold that advantage today. Juan Yepez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5% seasonal rate to 10% in the past two weeks.

Andres Chaparro Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Chaparro
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Jameson Taillon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andres Chaparro today. Andres Chaparro will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Andres Chaparro's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.7% up to 11.1%.

Andres Chaparro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Jameson Taillon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andres Chaparro today. Andres Chaparro will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Andres Chaparro's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.7% up to 11.1%.

Patrick Wisdom Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

P. Wisdom
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Patrick Wisdom will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's game. Patrick Wisdom's launch angle this season (28.3°) is a significant increase over his 21.5° mark last year. Since the start of last season, Patrick Wisdom's 18.9% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers.

Patrick Wisdom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Patrick Wisdom will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's game. Patrick Wisdom's launch angle this season (28.3°) is a significant increase over his 21.5° mark last year. Since the start of last season, Patrick Wisdom's 18.9% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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