Washington @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Oneil Cruz has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 95.3-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense. James Wood will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup. Over the past week, James Wood's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96-mph over the course of the season to 99.7-mph recently.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Dylan Crews has shown some good exit velocity indicators recently, averaging 97.7-mph on his flyballs over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Ranking in the 87th percentile, Jacob Young sits with a .326 BABIP this year.

Andres Chaparro is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense. The standard deviation of Andres Chaparro's launch angle has been very consistent recently (29.9° in the last 14 days), which is a proxy for reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Jose Tena will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller in today's game.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Joey Gallo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Joey Gallo's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (40.5° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 25.7° seasonal figure.

When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 13% of the time. HRs are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest in the league. Isiah Kiner-Falefa's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 88.8-mph EV last season has fallen off to 85.5-mph. In the past week's worth of games, Isiah Kiner-Falefa's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 88 mph to 83.9 mph. Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.7°, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0°) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

HRs are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest in the league. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Mitchell Parker Bryan Reynolds's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 90-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 87.1-mph in the last week. Bryan Reynolds's 9.4° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in baseball: 17th percentile.

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge today.

HRs are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest in the league. Over the last week, Bryan De La Cruz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.7% down to 0%. Bryan De La Cruz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 16.8% on the season to 0% in the past week. In notching a .294 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Bryan De La Cruz finds himself in the 25th percentile for offensive ability. Checking in at the 20th percentile, Bryan De La Cruz has notched a .288 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Luis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Luis Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup. Luis Garcia's launch angle this year (8.7°) is considerably better than his 4.5° figure last season.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Michael A. Taylor will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker today. Michael A. Taylor will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Michael A. Taylor has been unlucky this year, putting up a .233 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .283 — a .050 deviation. Michael A. Taylor's 11.5% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 83rd percentile this year.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Alika Williams will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Alika Williams will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alika Williams has suffered from bad luck this year. His .226 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .283. Alika Williams ranks in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50.4% rate since the start of last season).

Connor Joe is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Connor Joe will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage in today's game.

Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his good side against Mitch Keller today. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this year (19.7°) is quite a bit higher than his 15.1° angle last season. In the last 7 days, Keibert Ruiz's 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jared Triolo is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Jared Triolo will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Jared Triolo will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense. The switch-hitting Yasmani Grandal will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Mitchell Parker. Yasmani Grandal will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Yasmani Grandal has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.2% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Yasmani Grandal's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 14.4% on the season to 27.3% in the last two weeks.

Drew Millas has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.