Toronto @ Texas props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Joey Loperfido has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 4.4% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the last 7 days. Joey Loperfido has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.2-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph average. Joey Loperfido's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 38.7% on the season to 52.9% over the last two weeks. Joey Loperfido has recorded a .343 BABIP this year, placing in the 89th percentile.

Globe Life Field projects as the #29 park in the league for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Globe Life Field's centerfield fences are the 6th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bo Bichette in today's game. This year, Bo Bichette's Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 9.7% last year to just 4.6% this year.

Addison Barger has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 91.7-mph. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Addison Barger has been unlucky this year. His .272 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .306.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today. Leody Taveras has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 5.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week's worth of games. Leody Taveras has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .276 figure is deflated compared to his .307 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bowden Francis. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Spencer Horwitz has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 91.2-mph in the past 14 days. Spencer Horwitz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 20.9% on the season to 37% in the last two weeks' worth of games. By putting up a .356 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Spencer Horwitz has performed in the 92nd percentile for offensive skills.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage today. Jonah Heim has been unlucky this year, notching a .256 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .288 — a .032 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Checking in at the 78th percentile, Ezequiel Duran has posted a .317 BABIP this year.

Josh Jung's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Jung will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Josh Jung's launch angle in recent games (25.2° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 11.9° seasonal angle. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Josh Jung ranks in the 80th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .264. Posting a .343 BABIP since the start of last season, Josh Jung has performed in the 94th percentile.

Josh H. Smith is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Josh H. Smith will have the handedness advantage against Bowden Francis in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Josh H. Smith will hold that advantage today. Josh H. Smith has recorded a .315 BABIP this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

Leo Jimenez's BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Cody Bradford throws from, Leo Jimenez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Posting a .325 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Leo Jimenez grades out in the 76th percentile for offensive skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in the game as it relates to his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Cody Bradford in today's game. Batters such as Vladimir Guerrero Jr. with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cody Bradford who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.1-mph average to last year's 92.1-mph average.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Cody Bradford throws from, George Springer will have an advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, George Springer has been unlucky this year. His .300 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .353. By putting up a .273 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , George Springer has performed in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Cody Bradford throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have an advantage in today's game. Alejandro Kirk's launch angle this season (9.7°) is quite a bit better than his 6.2° angle last year. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 13.9% on the season to 33.3% over the past 7 days.

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Cody Bradford throws from, Ernie Clement will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal mark of 16.5°, Ernie Clement has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9°) over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage today. Wyatt Langford has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 91.8-mph over the past two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.347) provides evidence that Wyatt Langford has had some very poor luck this year with his .308 actual wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Marcus Semien will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Marcus Semien has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 26.3° figure in the past 14 days. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Marcus Semien has suffered from bad luck this year. His .305 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .332.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Adolis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.3°, Adolis Garcia has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24° mark in the past week. Despite posting a .286 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adolis Garcia has experienced some negative variance given the .034 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Davis Schneider has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Davis Schneider will hold the platoon advantage over Cody Bradford in today's matchup. In the last week, Davis Schneider's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 30%. Davis Schneider has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 92.8-mph.

Batting from the opposite that Cody Bradford throws from, Luis De Los Santos will have an advantage in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Luis De Los Santos generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cody Bradford.