Pittsburgh @ St. Louis props

Bryan Reynolds's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Erick Fedde in today's matchup. Bryan Reynolds has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.6% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ranking in the 84th percentile, Isiah Kiner-Falefa sits with a .276 batting average this year.

Joey Bart is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Over the last week, Joey Bart's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph in recent games. Joey Bart has notched a .354 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 90th percentile. Grading out in the 80th percentile, Joey Bart has posted a .263 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Given Luis Ortiz's huge platoon split, Brendan Donovan will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.7% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Andrew McCutchen has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.8% rate last year to 12.8% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Ortiz in today's game... and even better, Ortiz has a huge platoon split. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge today. Rowdy Tellez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Rowdy Tellez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 96.5-mph in recent games.

Nick Gonzales's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Gonzales is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.322) implies that Nick Gonzales has been unlucky this year with his .296 actual wOBA. Nick Gonzales has compiled a .276 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last two weeks, Nolan Arenado's 60.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.7%.

The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Pedro Pages will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the last two weeks, Pedro Pages's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 93.4-mph in recent games. Over the past two weeks, Pedro Pages's 26.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's game. Masyn Winn has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 86.8-mph figure. Over the last week, Masyn Winn's 56.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jared Triolo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 90.5-mph. In the past two weeks, Jared Triolo's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.2%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.307) may lead us to conclude that Jared Triolo has been unlucky this year with his .278 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryan De La Cruz's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (16.4°) is a considerable increase over his 12.3° mark last season. Despite posting a .284 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bryan De La Cruz has been unlucky given the .027 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game. Jordan Walker has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.1% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days.