Cleveland @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Alec Burleson has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year. Alec Burleson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.7°, Alec Burleson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.2°) in the last two weeks.

Kyle Manzardo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have the upper hand today. Kyle Manzardo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

Busch Stadium has the 5th-most fair ground among all parks — generally bad for HRs. Considering Ben Lively's large platoon split, Masyn Winn will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Masyn Winn's true offensive talent to be a .291, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .025 gap between that figure and his actual .316 wOBA. This year, Masyn Winn's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) is in the 6th percentile at 87.9 mph.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Bo Naylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game. Bo Naylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. This season, Bo Naylor has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.2 mph compared to last year's 90.7 mph mark.

Andres Gimenez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Compared to his seasonal average of 9°, Andres Gimenez has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 28.8° figure over the last 7 days.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Daniel Schneemann will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today. Daniel Schneemann hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Daniel Schneemann ranks in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (47.5% rate this year).

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Sporting a .342 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jhonkensy Noel grades out in the 87th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Lane Thomas ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Among every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Lane Thomas has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.3% seasonal rate to 17.9% over the last two weeks.

Angel Martinez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Among every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Angel Martinez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 85.5-mph mark. In notching a .257 batting average this year, Angel Martinez is positioned in the 77th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Among every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Jose Ramirez is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of St. Louis (#3-best of all teams on the slate today).

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Pedro Pages will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the past 14 days, Pedro Pages's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 93.4-mph in recent games. Over the last 14 days, Pedro Pages's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

Jordan Walker's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jordan Walker will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jordan Walker has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 12% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Will Brennan will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Will Brennan hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage over Ben Lively today... and even better, Lively has a large platoon split. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Brendan Donovan will have the handedness advantage against Ben Lively in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Lively has a large platoon split. Brendan Donovan will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Last season, Paul Goldschmidt had an average launch angle of 12.6° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 15.6°.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today. In terms of plate discipline, Nolan Arenado's ability is quite strong, putting up a 2.08 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 76th percentile. Nolan Arenado has notched a .266 batting average this year, grading out in the 75th percentile.