Seattle @ Houston Picks & Props

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Because of Bryce Miller's large platoon split, Yainer Diaz will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Yainer Diaz has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 9th-deepest RF fences today. Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 21.6% to 11.9%. Yainer Diaz has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 12th percentile with a 4.35 K/BB rate.

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's game. Josh Rojas's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (16.8°) is quite a bit better than his 10.5° mark last year. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.303) may lead us to conclude that Josh Rojas has had bad variance on his side this year with his .288 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Randy Arozarena has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.1-mph. Randy Arozarena has been unlucky this year, posting a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .342 — a .021 gap.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Considering Bryce Miller's large platoon split, Kyle Tucker will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

In MLB, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 8th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Jake Meyers will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jake Meyers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 40% to 45%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge today. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13% to 17%. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 46.5% on the season to 64.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Julio Rodriguez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.3% seasonal rate to 18.4% in the last two weeks. Julio Rodriguez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 95.6-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. In MLB, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Justin Turner usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Justin Turner has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 4.5% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Extreme groundball batters like Jorge Polanco usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Jorge Polanco's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (25.9° over the last 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 21.5° seasonal mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.325) suggests that Jorge Polanco has experienced some negative variance this year with his .280 actual wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Luke Raley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown today. Luke Raley has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.5% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past two weeks.

Mauricio Dubon's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 7th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Mauricio Dubon will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Mauricio Dubon has recorded a .271 batting average this year, placing in the 81st percentile.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball bats like Cal Raleigh tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Cal Raleigh has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .316 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .341 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 8th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Considering Bryce Miller's large platoon split, Jason Heyward will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jason Heyward can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 8th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Jason Heyward will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Jon Singleton is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Jon Singleton will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Miller in today's matchup... and even better, Miller has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jon Singleton stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 8th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 8th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Victor Caratini will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Using Statcast data, Victor Caratini grades out in the 81st percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .265.

Victor Robles is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Victor Robles has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph to 89.7-mph in the last 14 days. Over the past two weeks, Victor Robles's 65% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. In MLB, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 8th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 8th-best among all the teams on the slate today.