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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 26, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
-130 
|
o8.5 +100 
|
-1.5 +130 
|
|
4.44 |
+116
|
u8.5 -114 
|
+1.5 -137 
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Mets last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Washington
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Irvins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Irvins last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.59 |
-102
|
o8.0 -129
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
4.19 |
-113
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Verlanders last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Justin Verlander u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-160)
u5.5-160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.99 |
+140
|
o7.5 -115 
|
+1.5 -148
|
|
4.40 |
-155 
|
u8.0 -113
|
-1.5 +146
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 on astroturf.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Reds last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Lowders last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Reds last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Matt McLain o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+170)
o1.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.33 |
-305
|
o7.0 -134
|
-2.5 -104
|
|
2.51 |
+270
|
u7.5 -114 
|
+2.5 -105
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 3-0-2 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Dodgers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+193)
o0.5+255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.65 |
-129
|
o8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.38 |
+112
|
u8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -145
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.
- Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts overall.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+188)
o0.5+225
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
-127
|
o7.5 -132
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
3.71 |
+110
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -157
|
Texas
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-1-3 in Rangers last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Rangers last 8 games as a road favorite.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games.
- Twins are 7-0 in Obers last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 5-0 in Obers last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
o1.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
-124
|
o8.5 +100 
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.72 |
+110
|
u8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -150
|
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0 in Royals last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+218)
o0.5+218
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.10 |
+195
|
o7.5 -139
|
+1.5 -104
|
|
4.70 |
-215
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 -104
|
Colorado
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 games as an underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Top Projection
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.79 |
+160
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -127
|
|
4.18 |
-182
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +125
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Mathews' last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Mathews' last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Mathews' last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 6-1 in Mays last 7 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Dustin May o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+130)
o2.5-140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.48 |
-105
|
o6.5 -135
|
-1.5 +176
|
|
4.34 |
-105
|
u7.0 -114
|
+1.5 -197
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 9-1 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+237
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.87 |
+106
|
o7.5 -108
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
4.20 |
-115
|
u7.5 -107
|
-1.5 +170
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
San Diego
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+196
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.87 |
-140
|
o8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
5.39 |
+135
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -125
|
Houston
- Over is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Athletics
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 games a home underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+166
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.12 |
+166
|
o7.5 -109
|
+1.5 -124
|
|
4.46 |
-180
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +117
|
LA Angels
- Over is 6-0 in Angels last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 on grass.
Seattle
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Mariners last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Mariners last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 21-6-1 in Mariners last 28 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
u1.5-200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.66 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.08 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Under is 3-0-2 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Dodgers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.60 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Over is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. American League West.
Athletics
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 games a home underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.83 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0 in Manaeas last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Mets last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Washington
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Herzs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Herzs last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.56 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.65 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Martinezs last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Philadelphia
- Under is 3-0-1 in Walkers last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Phillies are 5-1 in Walkers last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.60 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 on fieldturf.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.91 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.66 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Williamsons last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Williamsons last 5 road starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 on astroturf.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Reds last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.43 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.10 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.
- Under is 11-2-1 in Braves last 14 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Junks last 6 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 7-2 in Marlins last 9 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.97 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.65 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 road games.
- Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Freelands last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 games as a road underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in Kays last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Kays last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.49 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.93 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-2 in Rangers last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 9-2-1 in Rangers last 12 games as a favorite.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Kremers last 5 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
NYM
@
WAS
Sat, Sep 26 • 12:35 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Jonah Tong o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-107)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to -120. Jonah Tong continues to generate plenty of swings and misses, posting 9.28 K/9 across his last two appearances while clearing this number in three straight starts. Washington isn't an extreme strikeout matchup, but Tong only needs five punchouts, making this a manageable number at close to even money.
Total Bases
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Nationals Park has the 10th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls.. Batting from the same side that Connelly Early throws from, Juan Soto will have a disadvantage in today's game.. Juan Soto has paced 36.4 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 97th percentile for power.
PIT
@
DET
Sat, Sep 26 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Riley Greene o0.5 Total Home Runs (+465)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Riley Greene is mashing right now with a .333 average, .617 SLG, and five homers in September.
The Tigers outfielder sits in the 95th percentile in xSLG and 96th percentile in barrel % this season – a testament to his power and ability to square up the baseball.
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
CIN
@
TOR
Sat, Sep 26 • 3:07 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Rhett Lowder o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+100)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play down to -115. Rhett Lowder's recent form makes this earned-runs prop difficult to ignore. He's allowed more than 2.5 earned runs in seven consecutive outings while carrying a 7.25 xERA over the last month. Toronto doesn't need to be scorching offensively to capitalize on a pitcher allowing this much hard contact.
Total Home Runs
Nathan Lukes o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1800)
Projection 0.08
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nathan Lukes is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre.. Nathan Lukes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathan Lukes can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Nathan Lukes will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
LAD
@
SF
Sat, Sep 26 • 4:05 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Marcelo Mayer o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+275)
Projection 1.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate at 82%.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Marcelo Mayer will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Home Runs
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total Home Runs (+800)
Projection 0.15
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Mookie Betts ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate at 82%.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Given Matt Wilkinson's large platoon split, Mookie Betts will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.
ATL
@
MIA
Sat, Sep 26 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 7th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average skill.. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 119° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Mike Yastrzemski o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.37
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 119° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Jack Ralston throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
TEX
@
MIN
Sat, Sep 26 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jake Burger o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Target Field ranks as the #9 park in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Power-wise, Jake Burger has performed in the 86th percentile, having hit 28.1 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total RBIs
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today's game.. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
CLE
@
KC
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-129)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Cleveland enters the weekend in an all-out battle for the AL Central crown and the crucial first-round bye (No. 2 seed). Tanner Bibee gets the start, backed by a bullpen that ranks third in MLB over the last two weeks with a 2.99 SIERA and 31.3% strikeout rate. Kansas City's bullpen has faltered down the stretch (5.08 ERA, 1.47 WHIP), giving Cleveland a major late-inning edge with season-defining motivation.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #5 venue in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Salvador Perez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
COL
@
CHW
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Davis Martin o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-160)
Projection 4.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Colorado Rockies have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Norby, Hunter Goodman, Mickey Moniak, Zac Veen).. Jake Rogers, the White Sox's expected catcher in today's matchup, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day.. Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Davis Martin will hold that advantage in today's game.. Davis Martin's curveball rate has jumped by 9.6% from last season to this one (4.8% to 14.4%) .
Total Hits
Randal Grichuk u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
STL
@
MIL
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 16%. Ivan Herrera has shown serious pop lately, homering three times in his last six games while carrying a .417 ISO. His 23.1% barrel rate and 46.2% fly-ball rate add to the appeal against Dustin May, who has allowed 1.96 HR/9 across his last five outings.
Total RBIs
Gary Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Gary Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Gary Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Mathews in today's game.. Gary Sanchez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
TB
@
PHI
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Edmundo Sosa o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1400)
Projection 0.08
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #8 park in the game for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for home runs.. This game is projected to have the 4th-most humid conditions on the schedule today (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.32
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for home runs.. This game is projected to have the 4th-most humid conditions on the schedule today (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Batting from the opposite that José Urquidy throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage in today's game.
AZ
@
SD
Sat, Sep 26 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Nolan Arenado o0.5 Total Home Runs (+525)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 20%. Nolan Arenado is locked in at the plate, going deep four times over his last six games while posting a .520 ISO. Walker Buehler has allowed 2.28 HR/9 over the last month, and Arenado has already taken him deep twice in his career.
Moneyline
AZ (+106)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Arizona has rattled off five straight wins to stay alive in the wild-card race and gives the ball to Corbin Burnes in a must-win game. San Diego has already punched their postseason ticket, while the Diamondbacks offense has caught fire over the last fortnight (128 wRC+, .500 SLG, 3.49 bullpen SIERA). Getting Burnes backed by high urgency against Walker Buehler provides the premier late-game value on the board.
HOU
@
ATH
Sat, Sep 26 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Christian Walker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+375)
Projection 0.2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #1 park in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate at 87°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+111)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #1 park in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate at 87°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.
LAA
@
SEA
Sat, Sep 26 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 20%. Randy Arozarena’s recent contact profile points to more power, with a 57.1% hard-hit rate and 14.3% barrel rate over the last week. Ryan Johnson has allowed 1.79 HR/9 on the road, while the Angels’ bullpen has also been vulnerable to the long ball.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today.. Los Angeles's #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Cal Raleigh, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
