Chicago @ Philadelphia props

The #3 ballpark in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. Javier Assad will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm in today's game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for homers. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Pete Crow-Armstrong has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.1% seasonal rate to 16% over the past 14 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.316) suggests that Pete Crow-Armstrong has had bad variance on his side this year with his .293 actual wOBA.

The #3 ballpark in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. Batting from the same side that Javier Assad throws from, Trea Turner will have a tough challenge in today's game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for homers. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Ian Happ has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.5-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 91-mph EV.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Isaac Paredes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (46.2% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Batters such as Isaac Paredes with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for homers. Extreme flyball batters like Cody Bellinger tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for homers. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game. J.T. Realmuto has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.4% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last two weeks. J.T. Realmuto has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 94.7-mph.

Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Austin Hays will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 81st percentile, Austin Hays has hit 39.1% of his balls in the air this year with a velocity of at least 100 mph. Ranking in the 79th percentile, Austin Hays sits with a .321 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability. Hitting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's game.

Patrick Wisdom will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Patrick Wisdom pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bats such as Patrick Wisdom with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. There has been a significant improvement in Patrick Wisdom's launch angle from last year's 21.5° to 27.6° this season.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (72% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for homers. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an advantage in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for homers. Hitting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Javier Assad today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for homers. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Nico Hoerner will have the upper hand today. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. When it comes to his batting average, Nico Hoerner has had some very poor luck this year. His .269 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .285.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Javier Assad in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for homers. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Miguel Amaya will have an edge today. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Miguel Amaya's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 44.3% on the season to 70% in the last week's worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.246) provides evidence that Miguel Amaya has suffered from bad luck this year with his .232 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for homers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nick Castellanos has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 92.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 90.5-mph.