Boston @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre profiles as the #21 field in baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 5th-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. Richard Fitts will hold the platoon advantage against George Springer today. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. George Springer's average exit velocity has declined lately; his 87.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 83.8-mph over the past 14 days.

Romy Gonzalez's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Romy Gonzalez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. In the last week's worth of games, Romy Gonzalez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 20%.

The #7 field in the majors for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 5th-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Jarren Duran's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%. Jarren Duran has been lucky this year, notching a .358 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .338 — a .020 difference.

Connor Wong's BABIP ability is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Connor Wong has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.3% seasonal rate to 17.4% in the past 14 days. Connor Wong's launch angle recently (24.3° over the last week) is a considerable increase over his 12.4° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Triston Casas is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Triston Casas will have an advantage today. Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Rogers Centre profiles as the #21 field in baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 5th-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. Richard Fitts will hold the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle this year (7.2°) is considerably lower than his 10.2° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Richard Fitts today.

Masataka Yoshida's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an advantage in today's game. Masataka Yoshida hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage in today's game. Wilyer Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Grading out in the 79th percentile, Wilyer Abreu has posted a .338 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Vaughn Grissom has suffered from bad luck this year. His .167 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .274. Checking in at the 94th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Vaughn Grissom demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial ability for achieving a high batting average.

Nathan Lukes's batting average talent is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathan Lukes is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Richard Fitts throws from, Nathan Lukes will have the upper hand in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Ceddanne Rafaela has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.9% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 7 days. Ceddanne Rafaela's launch angle lately (34.5° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 15.5° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.5°, Ernie Clement has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.2° figure in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Joey Loperfido will hold the platoon advantage against Richard Fitts today. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Loperfido has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Joey Loperfido hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Trevor Story is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Over the last 7 days, Trevor Story's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.8% up to 20%. Over the last two weeks, Trevor Story's 60.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.1%.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage over Richard Fitts today. Addison Barger may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today's matchup.