St. Louis @ San Francisco Picks & Props

10% of the time that Alec Burleson has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. This matchup is forecasted to have the 3rd-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of all the teams playing today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alec Burleson in today's game.

Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. This matchup is forecasted to have the 3rd-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Heliot Ramos will be in a tough position in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Heliot Ramos's true offensive ability to be a .321, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .020 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .341 wOBA.

Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. This matchup is forecasted to have the 3rd-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Matt Chapman will have a tough matchup in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals.

Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. This matchup is forecasted to have the 3rd-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the same side that Landen Roupp throws from, Masyn Winn will not have the upper hand today. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of all the teams playing today. Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average. The shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Oracle Park. Brendan Donovan will have the handedness advantage over Landen Roupp in today's matchup.

Tyler Fitzgerald's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Tyler Fitzgerald will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Tyler Fitzgerald's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 27.3%. Tyler Fitzgerald's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 90.2-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 65.9-mph in the last week.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average. The shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Oracle Park. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage against Landen Roupp today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Despite posting a .264 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Walker has been unlucky given the .047 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Michael Conforto is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average. The shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Oracle Park. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge in today's game.

Grant McCray's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average. The shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Grant McCray will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average. The shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Oracle Park. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Brett Wisely will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Brett Wisely will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Paul Goldschmidt has been unlucky this year, notching a .305 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .028 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jerar Encarnacion in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Jerar Encarnacion has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Jerar Encarnacion will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jerar Encarnacion has had some very poor luck this year. His .306 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .339.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Ivan Herrera has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.7% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week. Ivan Herrera has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.1-mph EV. Over the past 7 days, Ivan Herrera's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average. LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average. The shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Oracle Park. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage today. Over the past 7 days, Patrick Bailey's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.7% up to 20%. Patrick Bailey has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 99.7-mph over the past week.

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an edge in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Mike Yastrzemski will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average. Hitting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Matt Carpenter will have the upper hand today. Matt Carpenter pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. San Francisco's -3-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Matt Carpenter, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.