FOX

Baltimore @ Minnesota props

Target Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota

E. Julien
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Edouard Julien is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Edouard Julien will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Edouard Julien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Edouard Julien is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Edouard Julien will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Austin Slater Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Slater
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Austin Slater has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 27.72 ft/sec to 28.25 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Austin Slater has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), ranking in the 77th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.

Austin Slater

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Austin Slater has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 27.72 ft/sec to 28.25 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Austin Slater has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), ranking in the 77th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.

Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Baltimore

E. Rivera
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Emmanuel Rivera has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.7% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the past two weeks. Emmanuel Rivera has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 91.6-mph. Emmanuel Rivera's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 15.9% on the season to 21.1% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Emmanuel Rivera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Emmanuel Rivera has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.7% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the past two weeks. Emmanuel Rivera has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 91.6-mph. Emmanuel Rivera's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 15.9% on the season to 21.1% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota

B. Lee
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Brooks Lee will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.4°, Brooks Lee has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 35° mark in the last week.

Brooks Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Brooks Lee will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.4°, Brooks Lee has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 35° mark in the last week.

Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Westburg
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Hitting from the same side that Zebby Matthews throws from, Jordan Westburg faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Jordan Westburg pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Jordan Westburg will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Jordan Westburg's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 93.3 mph to 84.9 mph. Jordan Westburg's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, going from 17.9% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Jordan Westburg

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Hitting from the same side that Zebby Matthews throws from, Jordan Westburg faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Jordan Westburg pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Jordan Westburg will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Jordan Westburg's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 93.3 mph to 84.9 mph. Jordan Westburg's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, going from 17.9% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Minnesota

K. Farmer
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Hitting from the same side that Matt Bowman throws from, Kyle Farmer will have a disadvantage today. Kyle Farmer will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Kyle Farmer's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (27.7° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 17.5° seasonal figure.

Kyle Farmer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Hitting from the same side that Matt Bowman throws from, Kyle Farmer will have a disadvantage today. Kyle Farmer will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Kyle Farmer's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (27.7° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 17.5° seasonal figure.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Santana
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Carlos Santana is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will bat from his bad side against Matt Bowman in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage today.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Carlos Santana is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will bat from his bad side against Matt Bowman in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage today.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

W. Castro
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Willi Castro will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Willi Castro's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Willi Castro will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Willi Castro's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

Austin Martin Total Hits Props • Minnesota

A. Martin
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Austin Martin is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Hitting from the same side that Matt Bowman throws from, Austin Martin will have a tough matchup today.

Austin Martin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Austin Martin is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Hitting from the same side that Matt Bowman throws from, Austin Martin will have a tough matchup today.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Over the past two weeks, Adley Rutschman's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.5-mph over the course of the season to 91.8-mph recently.

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Over the past two weeks, Adley Rutschman's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.5-mph over the course of the season to 91.8-mph recently.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Lewis
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Royce Lewis is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Matt Bowman will have the handedness advantage against Royce Lewis in today's matchup.

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Royce Lewis is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Matt Bowman will have the handedness advantage against Royce Lewis in today's matchup.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

G. Henderson
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Gunnar Henderson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-deepest CF fences today. Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Gunnar Henderson's average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 92.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 90.7-mph over the past week. Gunnar Henderson's launch angle in recent games (0.1° over the past 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.1° seasonal mark.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Gunnar Henderson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-deepest CF fences today. Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Gunnar Henderson's average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 92.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 90.7-mph over the past week. Gunnar Henderson's launch angle in recent games (0.1° over the past 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.1° seasonal mark.

Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Margot
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Hitting from the same side that Matt Bowman throws from, Manuel Margot has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Manuel Margot will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Manuel Margot

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Hitting from the same side that Matt Bowman throws from, Manuel Margot has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Manuel Margot will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Colton Cowser Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Cowser
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 18th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP talent. Colton Cowser is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 82°. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zebby Matthews in today's matchup.

Colton Cowser

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 18th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP talent. Colton Cowser is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 82°. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zebby Matthews in today's matchup.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 82°. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage against Zebby Matthews today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today. In the past 7 days, Cedric Mullins's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph lately.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 82°. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage against Zebby Matthews today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today. In the past 7 days, Cedric Mullins's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph lately.

Ramón Urías Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Urías
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Ramon Urias has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 93.2-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.9°, Ramon Urias has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23° angle in the past week's worth of games. Ramon Urias has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a core talent for batting average), checking in at the 76th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.

Ramón Urías

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Ramon Urias has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 93.2-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.9°, Ramon Urias has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23° angle in the past week's worth of games. Ramon Urias has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a core talent for batting average), checking in at the 76th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.

Jackson Holliday Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Holliday
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage over Zebby Matthews in today's matchup.

Jackson Holliday

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage over Zebby Matthews in today's matchup.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Santander
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Ranking in the 86th percentile, Anthony Santander has put up a .346 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Ranking in the 86th percentile, Anthony Santander has put up a .346 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Ryan Mountcastle has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 95.8-mph over the last 7 days.

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Ryan Mountcastle has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 95.8-mph over the last 7 days.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Hitting from the same side that Matt Bowman throws from, Ryan Jeffers will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Ryan Jeffers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ryan Jeffers's launch angle of late (36.8° in the past week) is considerably better than his 16.1° seasonal mark.

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Hitting from the same side that Matt Bowman throws from, Ryan Jeffers will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Ryan Jeffers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ryan Jeffers's launch angle of late (36.8° in the past week) is considerably better than his 16.1° seasonal mark.

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Heston Kjerstad Total Hits Props • Baltimore

H. Kjerstad
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an edge today.

Heston Kjerstad

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an edge today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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