Miami @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-worst ballpark in the game for righty base hits. The weather report predicts the 5th-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Given Dillon Tate's large platoon split, Jake Burger will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense projects as the strongest among every team in action today. Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

The #6 stadium in MLB for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather report predicts the 5th-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will be at a big disadvantage against Dillon Tate and his large platoon split in this game. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense projects as the strongest among every team in action today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xavier Edwards today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Loperfido stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Joey Loperfido hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Loperfido will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 87th percentile, Joey Loperfido has posted a .335 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-worst ballpark in the game for righty base hits. The weather report predicts the 5th-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 93.8-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 89.8-mph over the past 14 days. Over the last 14 days, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s 34.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. Spencer Horwitz is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, George Springer will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's game.

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Given Dillon Tate's large platoon split, Kyle Stowers will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Kyle Stowers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.297) suggests that Kyle Stowers has had some very poor luck this year with his .264 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Leo Jimenez will have an edge in today's game. Leo Jimenez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ernie Clement has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. Ernie Clement will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's matchup. Ernie Clement will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Steward Berroa will hold that advantage today. Steward Berroa is very quick, placing in the 89th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.86 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. In notching a .281 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Otto Lopez has performed in the 90th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Davis Schneider ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. Davis Schneider will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's matchup. Davis Schneider will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dillon Tate in today's matchup... and moreover, Tate has a large platoon split. Jesus Sanchez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last season's 90.3-mph figure.

Jonatan Clase's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jonatan Clase is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. Jonatan Clase will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jonatan Clase has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph to 90.5-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Dane Myers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Dane Myers has an average exit velocity of 90.6 mph, which ranks among the best in baseball at the 83rd percentile. The standard deviation of Dane Myers's launch angle since the start of last season (25.5°) is in the 84th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play. Dane Myers has compiled a .259 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage today.

Connor Norby's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Norby is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. In the past 7 days, Connor Norby's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.5% up to 23.1%. Over the past week, Connor Norby's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph lately.

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums.

Jonah Bride is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. Over the last week, Jonah Bride's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 11.8%. Jonah Bride has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 91-mph over the past two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jonah Bride's 26.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.3%.

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Luis De Los Santos will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Luis De Los Santos will hold that advantage today.

Given Dillon Tate's large platoon split, Griffin Conine will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Griffin Conine hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Griffin Conine's launch angle recently (18° in the last week) is a significant increase over his 6.9° seasonal angle. Griffin Conine has been hot lately, posting a a 12.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) in the past week.

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. The switch-hitting Tyler Heineman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Ryan Weathers. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Tyler Heineman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.