Toronto @ Baltimore props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Alan Roden will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Alan Roden tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Alan Roden is very athletic, checking in at the 75th percentile in Sprint Speed at 27.75 ft/sec this year.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Tomoyuki Sugano will have the handedness advantage over Bo Bichette today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams today. Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Posting a .280 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Bo Bichette grades out in the 14th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. George Springer has made significant gains with his Barrel%, upping his 9.3% rate last year to 20% this season. In comparison to his 87.4-mph average last year, George Springer's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 95.2 mph. George Springer's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 40% to 72%.

Ernie Clement's batting average talent is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Ernie Clement and his 19.4% rank in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Will Wagner has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Will Wagner will have the upper hand in today's game. Will Wagner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Will Wagner with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Andres Gimenez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today. Extreme flyball bats like Andres Gimenez usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Ryan Mountcastle has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Ryan Mountcastle has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 8.8% rate last season to 16.7% this season. Using Statcast data, Ryan Mountcastle is in the 86th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .276.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Tyler O'Neill will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Tyler O'Neill's launch angle this year (23.4°) is quite a bit higher than his 20° mark last season. Tyler O'Neill's 17.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Adley Rutschman will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Adley Rutschman has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.1-mph average to last year's 89.5-mph average.

Cedric Mullins is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand today. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Cedric Mullins will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Cedric Mullins has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 4.9% rate last year to 13.3% this season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage over Bowden Francis today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Gunnar Henderson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Compared to last season, Anthony Santander has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 38.2% to 56.3% this season. Placing in the 81st percentile, Anthony Santander has notched a .340 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph mark. Alejandro Kirk has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .290 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .308 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. By putting up a 1.51 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alejandro Kirk has displayed good plate discipline, checking in at the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Hitting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage today. Extreme flyball batters like Jackson Holliday tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bowden Francis. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jackson Holliday will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jackson Holliday has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .257 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .282.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage against Bowden Francis in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage today. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 17% to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Heston Kjerstad will hold the platoon advantage over Bowden Francis in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jordan Westburg has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.