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Texas A&M -6.0 (-110)
Buzz Williams knows how to get Texas A&M firing on all cylinders by the time tourney season rolls around. The Aggies are 21-8 SU and 22-7 ATS since the start of March over the last three years. This is an Aggies squad built for postseason ball, ranking eighth in the country in adjusted defense per KenPom. During conference play, they led the SEC in opponent TO rate (19.4%) and defensive rebounding rate, while ranking second in opponent 2PT% (47.4%). On offense, they struggle with their shooting but still find ways to generate points. They have an experienced backcourt, dominate the offensive glass (first in the country in offensive rebounding rate), and get to the charity stripe (22nd in FT rate). The Longhorns finished the regular season 12th in the SEC in adjusted offense and 14th in adjusted defense. The Longhorns beat Vanderbilt last night but that was just their third win and second cover in their last 10 games.