Free WNBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game June 23, 2026
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Tue, Jun 23 • 10:00 PM ET
When locked in on defense, Las Vegas is the best team in the WNBA and a big step up in competition compared to New York’s recent runs. The Aces face a Liberty defense that doesn’t get off the bus. The current market pricing respects New York’s overall spot in the WNBA’s pecking order but overrates its current form. Sabally was New York’s big offseason add and she’s starting to find her way in Chris DeMarco’s “positionless” schemes. She’s made three triples in each of her last two games and is projected for at least two against a softer Aces perimeter defense. A’Ja Wilson has grabbed 10 or more rebounds in five of her eight games this month, with those single-digit efforts reserved to blowout wins. She stays close to the rim on defense versus New York, having recorded 10 or more rebounds in four straight meetings with the Liberty (save for an injury-shortened outing last July).
Satou Sabally o1.5 3-Pointers Made (-135)
Super-sub Satou Sabally is stepping up with Sabrina Ionescu struggling, leading the Liberty in usage over the past five games. She’s notably filling the gap from 3-point land. The All-Star small forward has upped up action from beyond the arc, attempting four or more triples in four of the past five games. Sabally has knocked down at least two 3-pointers in three of those games, including shooting a collective 6-for-14 the past two contests. For all the Aces’ defensive improvements, their soft spot is still the perimeter. Las Vegas sits 12th in 3-point defense and allows foes to hit 9.2 treys an outing – second most. Game script says New York is fighting from behind, which means an emphasis on big buckets from distance. Sabally’s player projections are positive with 2.2 makes from long range. That should have the Over 1.5 priced as high as -170.
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