Ohio State Buckeyes

Picks

Miami managed just 10 points against the Aggies, who rank first in third-down conversion rate. The Buckeyes rank second. They're also much better than Texas A&M at limiting points on quality drives.

The Canes won't get many of those to begin with. Remember, this is an Ohio State defense that didn't allow a single opponent to score more than 16 points in a single game. One other team in history has done that.

On the flip side, the Miami defense is fairly strong and will give Ohio State some issues in the trenches. That should prevent the Buckeyes from having a big scoring day of their own.

I don't see this game getting to 40 points, especially not with Carson Beck involved. Take the Under.

The last I checked, Carson Beck is the quarterback of the Miami Hurricanes. And he's too turnover prone and inconsistent for me to back the Canes to keep this game close.

Ohio State has one of the best defenses in college football, and Indiana managed just 13 points. But the Hoosiers have a better defense than the Canes, who allow too many explosive pass plays and rank 132nd in missed tackle rate. 

The Buckeye receivers are beyond elite, and should find success against a defense that gave up 91 throws of 10+ yards this season despite facing some fairly anemic passing attacks. 

Beck will be forced to make tough throws and keep drives alive. He will turn it over multiple times as the offense struggles to score and the Buckeyes win comfortably.