We’ve arrived at the Wimbledon final on the women’s side, and in one corner you have a favorite poised to take home her first grand slam title and on the other a hungry underdog back on the big stage after a four-year hiatus.
This should be an excellent match complete with extraordinary shot-making and rival last year's great Wimbledon final.
Let’s take at the Wimbledon odds and break down how the match should shake out.
Wimbledon Women's Final picks and predictions
Click on each prediction to read full analysis.
Looking to bet on some Wimbledon action? Here are two of the best bonuses* available:
A) New users at FanDuel can get 10x your first bet (up to $200) in bonus bets!Sign Up Now
B) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets! Sign Up Now
*Eligible USA locations only. Also, check out our full list of best betting promotions for 2023.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Ons Jabeur vs Marketa Vondrousova odds and picks
| (6) Ons Jabeur | (42) Marketa Vondrousova | |
|---|---|---|
| -210 | Moneyline | +170 |
| -3.5 (-105) | Game spread | +3.5 (-115) |
| Over 21.5 (-120) | Total games | Under 21.5 (+100) |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook on July 15, 2023.
Ons Jabeur vs Marketa Vondrousova match prediction
Let’s get one thing straight here: Marketa Vondrousova can absolutely win this match. She’s met Jabeur twice this year, and in both matches she’s emerged victorious. She outlasted Jabeur at the Australian Open, dominating for most of the contest in a 6-1, 5-7, 6-1 win. She saw her again at Indian Wells and finished her off in two sets. Now, she gets to play on what’s arguably a more preferable surface.
Vondrousova has finishing power from the left side and has really been improving drastically on faster courts over the last few years. She’s gone 21-8 on outdoor hardcourts over the last two seasons and is now 8-1 on the grass with some impressive wins here at Wimbledon.
I think the younger Vondrousova has a lot of talent and just hasn’t showcased it with any sort of consistency over the years. She’s going to come in here with a boatload of confidence and should be able to emerge victorious. Jabeur has faltered in the biggest matches of her career and I think she will crumble under the pressure.
Prediction: Vondrousova (+170 at DraftKings)
Ons Jabeur vs Marketa Vondrousova best bet
One thing I’m really worried about here for Jabeur is fatigue. She’s spent so much time on court this tournament and has had to dig incredibly deep to beat a murderer’s row of opponents in the last four matches. She’s gone the distance in three of those and has had to come back from a set down in each of those three-setters as well.
While it’ll take a lot out of you physically, it’ll also take a lot out of you mentally. There will be some semblance of fatigue in Jabeur’s head, but there’s also a chance that she lets her guard down against a lower-ranked opponent and extends the match.
With the head-to-head this year being very lopsided, I think there’s an outside chance Vondrousova wins in two sets and cashes the over. With that, I see a lot of value in taking the game spread in what should be a tight three-set match.
I do see plenty of value in grabbing the moneyline straight up, but the game spread is the far safer option.
Best bet: Vondrousova +3.5 (-120 at DraftKings)
