Justin Gaethje vs. Michael Chandler is on the main card for UFC 268 betting on November 6 from Madison Square Garden in New York.
This should be an absolute banger between a pair of hard-hitting lightweight contenders and could serve as a title eliminator bout. UFC betting odds opened with Gaethje as a -175 favorite before shifting to -200, while Chandler comes back at +160.
Here are our best free Gaethje vs. Chandler picks and predictions for UFC 268 on Saturday, November 6.
Gaethje vs Chandler fight odds
Live odds courtesy of the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Gaethje vs Chandler method of victory odds
| Method of Victory | Justin Gaethje | Michael Chandler |
|---|---|---|
| To win by KO/TKO | +100 | +500 |
| To win by Points | +460 | +440 |
| To win by Submission | +2,200 | +1,100 |
| Draw | +5,000 | +5,000 |
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook as of November 2, 2021.
Gaethje vs Chandler pick
Click on the pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Gaethje vs Chandler betting preview
Justin Gaethje is coming off an unsuccessful title challenge of Khaib Nurmagomedov last October when he was submitted in the second round. That loss snapped a four-fight winning streak where he had three consecutive first-round finishes before picking up a late TKO against Tony Ferguson.
Gaethje has incredible power in his hands and has a career 22-3 record with 19 knockouts. He's more than just a power-puncher though: possessing strong technical boxing ability along with great footwork and excellent use of leg kicks to set up his combinations.
Chandler made his highly-anticipated UFC debut in spectacular fashion in January, knocking out Dan Hooker in the first round. That earned him a bout against Charles Oliveira for the interim lightweight title in May. Chandler landed some big shots in the first round but was finished by strikes in the second.
Chandler was a three-time lightweight champ at Bellator and left the promotion with records for the most wins (18), finishes (13), and title bouts (11) in its history. The 35-year-old is a very well-rounded fighter that combines excellent wrestling with knockout power and a high-pressure style.
Gaethje vs Chandler tale of the tape
| Justin Gaethje | Michael Chandler | |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Age | 35 |
| 5-foot-11 | Height | 5-foot-8 |
| 155 lbs | Weight | 155 lbs |
| 70 inches | Reach | 71.5 inches |
| 22-3-0 (19 KO) | Record | 22-6-0 (10 KO) |
Gaethje vs Chandler UFC prediction and betting pick
Fight to end in KO/TKO (-190)
This fight should be absolute fireworks and while Chandler is the superior MMA wrestler, Gaethje was an NCAA Division I All-American wrestler at Northern Colorado so he has the pedigree to keep this fight standing up. Both of these guys have explosive power and Chandler can be a bit too aggressive and hittable at times.
Before Gaethje's loss to Khabib, he had a streak of 11 consecutive fights end in knockout (nine wins and two defeats). Meanwhile, Chandler's last five fights have all ended by KO/TKO within the first six minutes (three wins and two losses).
Being able to grab this prop at a better price than Gaethje's moneyline is too good to pass up.
