The Minnesota Lynx put their 10-game win streak on the line tonight when they host the Los Angeles Sparks at Target Center.
Tip-off is at 9 p.m. ET on Prime Video.
Minnesota’s run hasn’t been loaded with blowouts, and my Sparks vs. Lynx predictions back L.A. to cover as 15.5-point underdogs in the WNBA odds — even as Napheesa Collier and Olivia Miles lead the Lynx to the outright win on Thursday, Aug. 6.
Read my WNBA picks to see how I’m crafting a +650 SGP headlined by a combo prop for Collier.
- UPDATE: Added an Olivia Miles prop!
Sparks vs Lynx prediction
Sparks vs Lynx best bet: Napheesa Collier Over 9.5 rebounds + assists (-120)
After missing the start of the season due to ankle injuries, Napheesa Collier has returned without looking any worse for wear, sporting averages of 7.3 rebounds and 3.3 assists across four contests.
Collier has posted 9+ rebounds and assists in three of four and 10+ twice, averaging 12 at home and nine on the road. She’ll face a Los Angeles Sparks team surrendering the third-most rebounds and second-most assists.
After averaging just 23 minutes over her first three games, Collier saw 31 in her last game out, and after three days’ rest, she should see significant run tonight. Play this to 11.5.
COVERS INTEL: Since returning to the lineup, Napheesa Collier leads the Lynx in usage percentage (28) and rebound percentage (14.4). She’ll have plenty of opportunities to facilitate and crash the glass, leading to a comfortable cash on her combo line.
Sparks vs Lynx same-game parlay
The Minnesota Lynx have won 10 straight games but only covered twice. Minnesota is just 2-6 as a double-digit home favorite, and L.A. has covered in seven of its last 10. This is simply too high a spread.
The Sparks don’t play much defense, so they have to stay competitive by forcing shootouts. L.A. is 6-4 to the Over across its last 10, while Minnesota is 8-2. They’ve hit the Over in four of the last five head-to-head matchups, and I’ll play the Over up another point.
Sparks vs Lynx SGP
- Napheesa Collier Over 9.5 rebounds + assists
- Sparks +15.5
- Over 188.5
Want more basketball parlays? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!
Sparks vs Lynx player prop pick
Olivia Miles Over 19.5 points (-115)
Olivia Miles’ assists and rebounds have fallen since Napheesa Collier returned, but her scoring has held up and even increased to 20.3 points from 19.6.
Miles has averaged 20.6 points at home compared to just 18.7 on the road, and she’s scored 20+ in eight of 15 at Target Center.
Facing a lackluster Sparks defense that she torched for 31 and 18 points this season, I expect Miles to crack 20 points again. The price should be closer to -160, making this a value prop.
- Best bet: 22-24, -3.62 units
- SGP: 7-39, -3.000 units
- Player prop: 9-11, -3.39 units
Sparks vs Lynx odds
- Spread: Sparks +15.5 | Lynx -15.5
- Moneyline: Sparks +800 | Lynx -1300
- Over/Under: Over 188.5 | Under 188.5
Sparks vs Lynx trend
The Lynx have won six straight games against the Sparks. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Sparks vs Lynx
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Thursday, August 6, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime Video |
Sparks vs Lynx latest injuries
Sparks: No key injuries to report.
Lynx: Chloe Bibby (Out), Emma Cechova (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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