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Sam Farley

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com

Sam Farley

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Betting Analyst Years of Experience Icon8+ years experience
Betting Analyst
Years of Experience Icon8+ years experience Covers Email Icon Twitter Icon

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

Favorites
Team: Plymouth Argyle
Sport to bet on: NFL
Sports movie: Happy Gilmore
Sports snack: Buffalo wings
Covers feature: Line movement tracker
I saw an article on Alex Smith’s recovery and his ambition to play again, so I bet on Alex Smith to win Comeback Player of the Year. In my mind I was certain he’d win it even if he just made the field once for a kneel down at the end of a game. In the end he played a few games and performed well. It was super cool to win the bet (I had tickets from 33/1 to 16/1) and also to watch him make an amazing comeback.
Best Betting Memory Icon Best Betting Memory
I feel like I haven’t had any truly gut-wrenching bad beats. I’m normally most annoyed with my losing bets when I’ve just followed my heart and not done any research. Generally when the reasoning behind my bets is solid (because I’ve used tools like those on Covers), even if they lose, I don’t get too salty.
Best Betting Memory Icon Worst Beat

NFL Props: Anytime Touchdown Picks for Steelers vs Ravens Week 16

Dec 20, 2024 • 5:29 PM ET

With plenty to play for in the race for the AFC North division title, Sam Farley is backing a pair of key contributors to find the endzone and juicy plus-money odds.

Lamar Jackson Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Steelers vs Ravens

Dec 20, 2024 • 3:30 PM ET

Lamar Jackson has taken major strides in becoming an accurate QB which is why Sam Farley is backing him for a pair of TD passes against Pittsburgh on Saturday.

Tottenham vs Liverpool Predictions & Picks for Sunday’s EPL Matchup

Dec 20, 2024 • 1:36 PM ET

Liverpool are consistently good, Tottenham are consistently inconsistent. Sam Farley urges you not to overthink this one and take the team with the better defensive abilities.

Tottenham vs Manchester United Predictions & Picks for Thursday's EFL Cup Match

Dec 18, 2024 • 3:00 PM ET

Players like Rasmus Hojlund have stepped up since Ruben Amorim took over as Manchester United's coach. While Spurs are coming off a big win, it wasn't indicative of how they've played of late.

Kirk Cousins Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Monday Night Football Week 15

Dec 16, 2024 • 6:16 PM ET

Kirk Cousins is a big risk-taker in the pocket, and the negatives of that approach have been on full display of late. Our NFL betting picks believe the Falcons QB will gamble and lose at least once with an interception in Las Vegas.

Ravens vs Giants Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets for NFL Week 15

Dec 14, 2024 • 6:38 PM ET

Farley's best bet: While Baltimore might be hard-pressed to cover this onerous number, New York's offensive shortcomings should help ensure the Under hits.

NFL First Touchdown Props Week 15: Robinson to the House!

Dec 14, 2024 • 1:23 PM ET

Week 15 has some tremendous games on the slate, and NFL expert Sam Farley has three first-touchdown scorer props for this outstanding slate.

NFL Props: Anytime Touchdown Picks for Bills vs Lions Week 15

Dec 14, 2024 • 12:24 PM ET

The Bills and Lions are likely the best game on the Week 15 slate. Our expert NFL predictions expect Josh Allen and Amon-Ra St. Brown to each score touchdowns on Sunday!

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Predictions & Picks for Saturday’s EPL Matchup

Dec 12, 2024 • 12:56 PM ET

With the way these teams have been scoring and bleeding goals of late, Saturday's matchup could see a ton of scoring action.

Juventus vs Man City Predictions, Picks and Odds for Today's Champions League Match

Dec 11, 2024 • 1:31 PM ET

Both teams enter Wednesday's critical UCL clash in need of three points, and despite their current form, Sam Farley believes both teams have enough attacking power to find the back of the net.

Joe Burrow Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Monday Night Football Week 14

Dec 9, 2024 • 4:08 PM ET

Sam Farley believes Joe Burrow is in for a big night when the Bengals visit the Cowboys on MNF to wrap up Week 14.

Patrick Mahomes Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Sunday Night Football

Dec 8, 2024 • 9:38 AM ET

Sam Farley's Patrick Mahomes' picks for SNF expect the Chiefs' superstar to get picked off at least once by the Chargers.

Jaguars vs Titans Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets for NFL Week 14

Dec 7, 2024 • 6:09 PM ET

It's a matchup only a bettor could love, and Sam Farley believes the Titans are in the right position to defend home turf against a lifeless Jaguars team.

NFL First Touchdown Props Week 14: Barkley Opens Scoring For Philly

Dec 7, 2024 • 2:09 PM ET

Sam Farley's first touchdown scorer picks highlight Saquon Barkley, De'Von Achane, and James Cook.

Tottenham vs Chelsea Predictions & Picks for Sunday’s EPL Matchup

Dec 6, 2024 • 2:34 PM ET

Tottenham and Chelsea enter Sunday's London Derby trending in opposite directions and Sam Farley believes the Blues consistent defense will be the difference-maker here.

Bournemouth vs Tottenham Predictions & Picks for Thursday's EPL Matchup

Dec 4, 2024 • 8:04 AM ET

Tottenham may be the more recognizable name, but Bournemouth has been one of the best stories this year, sitting only two points off Spurs in seventh place. Given their current form, Sam Farley believes the Cherries can knock off Tottenham and jump them in the standings.

Bo Nix Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Monday Night Football Week 13

Dec 2, 2024 • 4:10 PM ET

Farley's Prediction: Bo Nix is developing into a franchise QB right in front of our eyes, and he should have no issues carving up this Browns defense on Monday Night Football.

Josh Allen Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Sunday Night Football

Dec 1, 2024 • 9:11 AM ET

Josh Allen just got engaged to Hailee Steinfeld, and he's about to run all over the 49ers on a prime-time stage with a touchdown score to boot. What a life...

Titans vs Commanders Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets for NFL Week 13

Nov 30, 2024 • 5:13 PM ET

The Washington Commanders are struggling for form right now, losers of three straight. The Tennessee Titans are coming off a big division win and Sam Farley believes they can use that momentum to keep this game close.

NFL First Touchdown Props Week 13: Brown to the House!

Nov 30, 2024 • 12:01 PM ET

Week 13 is packed with a 10-game Sunday slate. Our NFL expert predictions expect A.J. Brown, Nico Collins, and Bucky Irving to strike first in their respective games.

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