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Sam Farley

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com

Sam Farley

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Betting Analyst Years of Experience Icon8+ years experience
Betting Analyst
Years of Experience Icon8+ years experience Covers Email Icon Twitter Icon

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

Favorites
Team: Plymouth Argyle
Sport to bet on: NFL
Sports movie: Happy Gilmore
Sports snack: Buffalo wings
Covers feature: Line movement tracker
I saw an article on Alex Smith’s recovery and his ambition to play again, so I bet on Alex Smith to win Comeback Player of the Year. In my mind I was certain he’d win it even if he just made the field once for a kneel down at the end of a game. In the end he played a few games and performed well. It was super cool to win the bet (I had tickets from 33/1 to 16/1) and also to watch him make an amazing comeback.
Best Betting Memory Icon Best Betting Memory
I feel like I haven’t had any truly gut-wrenching bad beats. I’m normally most annoyed with my losing bets when I’ve just followed my heart and not done any research. Generally when the reasoning behind my bets is solid (because I’ve used tools like those on Covers), even if they lose, I don’t get too salty.
Best Betting Memory Icon Worst Beat

Russell Wilson Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

Nov 20, 2024 • 1:09 PM ET

Russell Wilson is not the scrambler he once was, but his big arm will do plenty to give the Cleveland Browns trouble.

C.J. Stroud Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Monday Night Football

Nov 18, 2024 • 7:00 PM ET

Farley's Best Bet: With his best receiver back in the mix, C.J. Stroud should have no problem carving up a terrible Dallas secondary.

Vikings vs Titans Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets for NFL Week 11

Nov 16, 2024 • 7:31 PM ET

Despite winning two straight, the Minnesota Vikings have not looked fully in sync but a game against the lowly Titans should help. Find out why Sam Farley is laying the points with the visitors on Sunday.

NFL First Touchdown Props Week 11: Bijan Strikes First in Denver

Nov 16, 2024 • 10:40 AM ET

After a slow start to the season, Bijan Robinson has racked up six touchdowns over his last five games. Might he open the scoring against the Broncos on Sunday?

England vs Ireland Predictions & Picks for Sunday’s Nations League Match

Nov 15, 2024 • 3:35 PM ET

There's no reason to to expect anything but a dominant performance from England went Ireland comes to Wembley Stadium on Sunday.

Greece vs England Predictions & Picks for Today's Nations League Match

Nov 14, 2024 • 11:49 AM ET

With a win crucial to topping Group 2 in Nations League action, Sam Farley believes England's depth, along with the return of Harry Kane, will help the Three Lions get revenge on Greece.

Tua Tagovailoa Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Monday Night Football

Nov 10, 2024 • 11:42 AM ET

Tua Tagovailoa may have to take risks to keep the Dolphins afloat in Los Angeles on Monday night. That has Sam Farley's NFL picks looking at the Tagovailoa interception prop vs. the Rams.

Steelers vs Commanders Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets: Harris to the House

Nov 9, 2024 • 8:17 PM ET

Our NFL predictions expect Steelers RB Najee Harris to find the end zone at least once and make Sunday's clash closer than expected.

NFL First Touchdown Props Week 10: Kittle Breaks Bucs

Nov 9, 2024 • 2:12 PM ET

Our NFL expert has three first touchdown props for Week 10, including 49ers tight end George Kittle finding the end zone against a leaky Bucs secondary.

Malik Nabers Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Giants vs Panthers

Nov 9, 2024 • 1:04 PM ET

Our NFL expert expects Giants wideout Malik Nabers to majorly impact Munich, including taking one to the house!

Lamar Jackson Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

Nov 6, 2024 • 11:16 AM ET

Lamar Jackson has missed practices in back-to-back weeks due to knee and back issues, which will limit him on Thursday Night Football vs. the Bengals. With Derrick Henry on the roster, there's no reason for Lamar to let it loose.

Inter Milan vs Arsenal Predictions & Picks for Wednesday’s Champions League Match

Nov 4, 2024 • 12:41 PM ET

With the way Arsenal's offense has looked without Martin Odegaard, we're not so sure this Champions League matchup against Inter Milan will see many goals. Read more in our betting preview below.

Liverpool vs Leverkusen Predictions & Picks for Tuesday’s Champions League Match

Nov 4, 2024 • 11:14 AM ET

Arne Slot has worked some tactical magic with Liverpool across all competitions this year, and with Bayer Leverkusen still nursing a bit of a championship hangover, our soccer betting picks expect the Reds to prevail on Tuesday.

Bears vs Cardinals Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets: Swift Runs Wild in Arizona

Nov 3, 2024 • 1:01 PM ET

Our Bears vs. Cardinals NFL predictions expect Bears RB D'Andre Swift to lead the way.

Broncos vs Ravens Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets: Denver's Stout Defense Keeps Baltimore Under Wraps

Nov 2, 2024 • 7:02 PM ET

The Baltimore Ravens' are too inconsistent to be favored by 9.5 points, and Denver will do enough to cover.

NFL First Touchdown Props Week 9: Hurts So Good!

Nov 2, 2024 • 1:05 PM ET

Our NFL first TD scorer predictions expect Eagles QB Jalen Hurts to take one to the house as part of our three first TD scorer picks.

Tottenham vs Man City Predictions & Picks for Wednesday’s Carabao Cup Match

Oct 28, 2024 • 2:40 PM ET

Tottenham comes into this clash with the classy Man City in a bad way, and even if we see second-stringers galore in this non-EPL affair, the Citizens should do enough to walk away with the win.

NFL First Touchdown Props Week 8: Dobbins Strikes First for L.A.

Oct 26, 2024 • 12:55 PM ET

J.K. Dobbins only has three touchdowns this season, but he'll be set up for success in Week 8 against the putrid Panthers.

Dak Prescott Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Sunday Night Football

Oct 26, 2024 • 11:35 AM ET

Dak Prescott did a much better job of protecting the football during the first half of last season, but he's been incredibly irresponsible thus far. Expect another pick against the 49ers.

Everton vs Fulham Predictions & Picks for Saturday’s EPL Matchup

Oct 24, 2024 • 3:43 PM ET

Dwight McNeil has been in good form since being moved to the middle of the pitch, and Sam Farley's EPL picks will back the Everton man to give Fulham's keeper something to ponder.

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