MLBN, Bally Sports Network

Milwaukee @ St. Louis props

Busch Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's game.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's game.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Paul Goldschmidt will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.368) provides evidence that Paul Goldschmidt has experienced some negative variance this year with his .240 actual wOBA. Paul Goldschmidt's 12.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Paul Goldschmidt will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.368) provides evidence that Paul Goldschmidt has experienced some negative variance this year with his .240 actual wOBA. Paul Goldschmidt's 12.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.

Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Chourio
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Jackson Chourio is very fast, placing in the 77th percentile in Sprint Speed at 27.94 ft/sec this year.

Jackson Chourio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jackson Chourio is very fast, placing in the 77th percentile in Sprint Speed at 27.94 ft/sec this year.

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Gorman
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Freddy Peralta in today's game. Nolan Gorman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Nolan Gorman's 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 98th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Nolan Gorman's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 93rd percentile at 95.6 mph.

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Freddy Peralta in today's game. Nolan Gorman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Nolan Gorman's 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 98th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Nolan Gorman's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 93rd percentile at 95.6 mph.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

S. Frelick
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage today. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. As it relates to plate discipline, Sal Frelick's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.6 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 88th percentile.

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage today. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. As it relates to plate discipline, Sal Frelick's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.6 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 88th percentile.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Adames
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Willy Adames's 12.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season. Willy Adames has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 21° mark is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (98th percentile).

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Willy Adames's 12.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season. Willy Adames has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 21° mark is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (98th percentile).

Victor Scott II Total Hits Props • St. Louis

V. Scott II
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Victor Scott will have the upper hand in today's game. Victor Scott hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Victor Scott will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Victor Scott is quite toolsy, placing in the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 30.41 ft/sec this year.

Victor Scott II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Victor Scott will have the upper hand in today's game. Victor Scott hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Victor Scott will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Victor Scott is quite toolsy, placing in the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 30.41 ft/sec this year.

Rhys Hoskins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

R. Hoskins
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Rhys Hoskins tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Gibson.

Rhys Hoskins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Rhys Hoskins tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Gibson.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup.

Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Bauers
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today. Jake Bauers has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .290 figure is considerably lower than his .324 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jake Bauers's 18.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 97th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Jake Bauers's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 92nd percentile at 96.5 mph.

Jake Bauers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today. Jake Bauers has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .290 figure is considerably lower than his .324 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jake Bauers's 18.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 97th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Jake Bauers's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 92nd percentile at 96.5 mph.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. With a .373 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Willson Contreras grades out in the 94th percentile for offensive skills. Willson Contreras has put up a .281 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. With a .373 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Willson Contreras grades out in the 94th percentile for offensive skills. Willson Contreras has put up a .281 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta today. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta today. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. William Contreras has been hot of late, cruising to a .441 wOBA over the past week. Ranked in the 85th percentile, William Contreras has one of the highest average exit velocities in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (91.3-mph).

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. William Contreras has been hot of late, cruising to a .441 wOBA over the past week. Ranked in the 85th percentile, William Contreras has one of the highest average exit velocities in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (91.3-mph).

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage today. Brendan Donovan has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .276 BA is quite a bit lower than his .310 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage today. Brendan Donovan has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .276 BA is quite a bit lower than his .310 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Blake Perkins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Perkins
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

In the past 7 days, Blake Perkins has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .382.

Blake Perkins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In the past 7 days, Blake Perkins has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .382.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Nolan Arenado's 16.9° launch angle (an advanced metric to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the game: 84th percentile. Nolan Arenado has posted a .271 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 80th percentile.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Nolan Arenado's 16.9° launch angle (an advanced metric to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the game: 84th percentile. Nolan Arenado has posted a .271 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 80th percentile.

Oliver Dunn Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

O. Dunn
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Oliver Dunn is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Oliver Dunn will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.98 ft/sec this year, Oliver Dunn is remarkably quick.

Oliver Dunn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Oliver Dunn is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Oliver Dunn will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.98 ft/sec this year, Oliver Dunn is remarkably quick.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Jordan Walker has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .266 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .281. In notching a .346 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jordan Walker is ranked in the 78th percentile for offensive ability.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Jordan Walker has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .266 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .281. In notching a .346 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jordan Walker is ranked in the 78th percentile for offensive ability.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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