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The Rangers and Devils games are the ones I feel I need to analyze the most.
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DNI | 38 |
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Good morning ladies and gentlemen,
I bid you a wonderful day. We had a tough beat with Vancouver going to OT when up 3:0 in the game. That's the leg that lost it for us. +$1,768.01, 13-10. DNI Mourinho hit a rough patch with some near misses, but with 3 NHL games today, we look to turn it around. Stay tuned for DNI Mourinho's official play later today. Sincerely, DNI Mourinho |
DNI | 38 |
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Gentlemen,
We had another tough beat on Vancouver. 3:0 up, the odds of OT coming into play were likely over +1000 live. Very tough beat for us gentlemen, but we have these during the course of an NHL season. Sincerely, DNI Mourinho |
DNI | 85 |
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Off to sleep my friends, we need Sharks +1.5 to carry us home .
My peace I leave you, my peace I give you. Sincerely, DNI Mourinho® |
DNI | 85 |
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Uh oh 3:2 OT?
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DNI | 85 |
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Vancouver leg looks good. Should just have Sharks +1.5 to bring us home.
Sincerely, DNI Mourinho |
DNI | 85 |
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Hello Lippsman,
Are the above posts appropriate? |
DNI | 85 |
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Carolina pushed.
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DNI | 85 |
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Good win on Ducks leg.
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DNI | 85 |
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Quote Originally Posted by zamigo6: Quote Originally Posted by DNI: CORRECTbut this is unfortunatelygood luck tonight, you can go back to talking to your imaginary followers I'll stay out of your hair...Mr. Zamigo,Not everything is scientific and mathematical in this world my friend. Perhaps you have a different philosophy on wagering. To each his own, I don't discredit your methods however, and perhaps you shouldn't discredit mine? Sincerely, DNI Mourinho |
DNI | 85 |
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Mr. Zamigo,
Not everything is scientific and mathematical in this world my friend. |
DNI | 85 |
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Quote Originally Posted by zamigo6: Lippsman, I felt exactly the same way as you and thought it was worth discussing this kind of thing, even if not for DNI in the end, for whoever may be reading it. Ultimately the guy is a child with his fingers in his ears shouting at the top of his lungs to avoid hearing anything. He thinks that his "amazing intuition" is more important than the math, when in reality he can still use his alleged intuition while making mathematically sound decisions, but he does not want to learn how, he does not even have the humility to consider that he may be doing something silly. Again and again (example after example) Vanzack and I have proven that it is not a matter of opinion, but a matter of mathematical fact, and still he does not care. The only sane conclusion that any of the witnesses to the exchanges could come to is that this man is here to troll the website, which is beyond apparent in my opinion, and all of his effort and energy is not for anything other then making a mess around here, and confusing a bunch of amateurs even further. Watch him dance around the discussion and then continue to put all of his effort towards attracting attention and controversy, which he is now doing so several other sites as well. He will find an ignorant fool here and there to come to his defense, because he is skillful enough at what he does, and well-spoken enough to dupe your average idiot. Like you I was under the impression this site was to help one another out, but the amount of effort that has gone into perpetuating this troll who offers nothing but deliberate misinformation is proving that to be a complete fallacy. Regardless, I respect your effort, and obviously completely agree with everything you have said in here... Mr. Zamigo, You are welcome to disagree with my approach here. Why not wait the entire NHL season and let my record speak for itself? Why not give it a fair shake Just because I have a different method doesn't mean it's wrong or not profitable. Perhaps some of the words you use against me above should apply to yourself and Mr. VanZack. There's more than one way to shear a sheep. There is more than one avenue to make money in this profession. I am showing one avenue and I'm doing it in a way that is documented so everything is transparent. Again you must realize that futbol and these NHL plays are separate entities so to speak. They are different tools in an arsenal of options to earn money in this profession. To put on blinders and only advocate some mathematical approach is to completely disregard the intuitive and subjective nature of sport. Sincerely, DNI Mourinho |
DNI | 85 |
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Ducks up 3:2, looking decent shape on our first game.
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DNI | 85 |
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Quote Originally Posted by rivermonsterz: Hahaha.This guy reeks of general sharp.The loooooong posts with the constant reminders of records, and the rubbish plays that are guess work based on terrible odds and previous matches.To me whoever it is sitting behind a computer wants to have 1 great season, gain a solid following the slug amateurs for his hack plays the following season. Hello friend, What does this even mean? I am an honest professional, I don't need money from any other source. I don't sell my plays, I don't intend to. I just help people and that's all. Sincerely, DNI Mourinho |
DNI | 85 |
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** DNI MOURINHO OFFICIAL PLAY - SUNDAY **
Ladies and Gentlemen, I'm briefly at the computer so I have a chance to update the record and give my play in a nice format. Total profit to +$2,768.01 with a 13-9 record. I will likely have one more evening play, we will see. Here's my current play. PARLAY (4 TEAMS) 12/07/2014 @ 09:05 PM NHL 01. NHL - Alternative Lines (1) [79577] 12/07/2014 @ 03:05 PM NHL 02. NHL - Alternative Lines (2) [79605] 12/07/2014 @ 05:05 PM NHL 02. NHL - Alternative Lines (2) [79608] 12/07/2014 @ 07:05 PM NHL 13. NHL - Will there be overtime? [79926] NO -450 ( 1000.00 1117.80 |
DNI | 85 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman: You keep playing huge juiced faves in parlays so your wagering is quite flawed and you appear not want any suggestions on how to play better. The run back for a TD us not a bad beat, you do realize there were around 80 other plays in that game. Saying that TB was near perfect shows everyone that you don't really cap, you just look at past scores and the highest ML's. Glad you are using Monopoly money. You will last longer. Since you don't want any assistance and think you know what you are doing take care If you were to look at yesterday's thread, I explicitly stated that the 'weakest' link could be Oklahoma because of the motivation factor and that it's a rivalry game. I knew this risk, I wasn't oblivious to it though Mr. Lippsman.
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DNI | 85 |
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* DNI RECAP * Let's recap the statistics to date: 11/24 : -$1,207.20 11/25 : +$2,291.10 11/26 : +$1,575.10 11/27 : +$140.00 11/28 : - $1,003.80 11/29 : +$2,365.80 11/30 : -$1,000.00 * Lost on an empty netter, but capped this one right. 12/1: +$857.50 12/2: +$1,401.40 12/3: +$857.30 12/4: -$2,000.01* Shocked by 5 NJ Devils Goals vs. Tor 12/5: +$35.10 *1-1, only lost MMA portion of play #2 12/6: - $1544.28 This brings my total profit to +$2,768.01 with a 13-9 record. Lastly, you all must remember that nobody is right 100% of the time, even as a professional. Bad beats happen like last night, but in the long-run the bad beats even out. We look to continue rolling along in NHL today, so stay tuned for my official DNI Mourinho play later today. Sincerely, DNI Mourinho® Moving Bets, Not Losing Bets.™ https://i.imgur.com/ZJhOwBb.jpg * Official Logo of DNI Mourinho * |
DNI | 85 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman: You keep playing huge juiced faves in parlays so your wagering is quite flawed and you appear not want any suggestions on how to play better. The run back for a TD us not a bad beat, you do realize there were around 80 other plays in that game. Saying that TB was near perfect shows everyone that you don't really cap, you just look at past scores and the highest ML's. Glad you are using Monopoly money. You will last longer. Since you don't want any assistance and think you know what you are doing take care Oklahoma having the ball with less than 3 minutes to go in game and then losing wasn't a bad beat? I get the Cbus factors, being in FLorida, etc, but if you could see Cbus coming, did you wager on Cbus -1.5?
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DNI | 85 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Radeque: Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman: Very true. The only sustainable way of getting is one game per bet slip. The more games you put on a bet slip together, the bigger the chance of losing, however big favoutites they are. That's the way the cookie crumbles. Quote Originally Posted by DNI: DNI,It appears that way if you just look at things in a linear point of view. But you have to think in the vein of "Any given day" It's tough enough to win a few games a day, much less having to win 5 and 6 games. Since you always play huge faves I will look at it from your POV. You think the huge fave has to win a prohibitive amount of the time, which should happen. But does your wager take into account of 5 and 6 teams that has to win a prohibitive amount of the time. Now with that you have to add in what each player will have to do. In the case of Oklahoma -1500 wager, did you even take into account that is was against Oklahoma St. ? A huge rivalry game ?Columbus won their last 2 games and were already in Florida from the Panthers game, so they had next to no travel. Also in pucks a goaltender will steal a game no matter how bad the team is in front of them. You put 5 or 6 NHL games together you can almost like clockwork, expect one goaltender to steal a game that shouldn't happen. Your MMA wagers, you are wagering on one person that does not have a team around them to help out if they have an off night. They have an off night your whole parlay loses.Thank about this, how does it feel to win 5 out of 6 games and still have a losing night.Just think about that.Hi Lippsman,Of course it increases the risk, that's inherent in making that type of play, no? But the odds of each particular game are in your favor, are they not?. At least pre game, is that not correct? And yet I've still been profitable in this facet in my portfolio as my record indicates. |
DNI | 85 |
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I happened to be on the wrong side of a bad beat, but there was nothing flawed in the wagering method or analysis.
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DNI | 85 |
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