The Baltimore Ravens will look to rebound in Week 4 after getting embarrassed in primetime on Monday night. The Washington Football Team will have the tough task of entertaining an angry Ravens squad, as their QB play has been uninspiring this year and was recently called out by head coach Ron Rivera.
Baltimore opened as 13-point favorites, the biggest spread this year, and that number has stayed pretty static throughout the week. The total has had much more movement as it opened at 47 but has fallen to 45.
Here are our NFL free picks and predictions for Ravens vs Washington for Sunday, October 4 (1:00 p.m. ET).
Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Football Team betting preview
Weather
Temperatures will be in the mid-60s in the nation's capital for kickoff with a light wind and a zero percent chance of rain. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.
Key Injuries
Ravens: Ronnie Stanley T (Out). Derek Wolfe DE (Out), Justin Madubuike DE (Out).
Washington: Chase Young DE (Out), Cole Holcomb LB (Out), Reuben Foster LB (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.
Betting Trend to Know
The Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite. Find more NFL betting trends for Ravens vs. Washington.
Against the spread (ATS) pick
We wouldn’t want to be the team to have to face Lamar Jackson after his worst passing game as a professional. Washington will face a very determined Baltimore squad after getting embarrassed on the national stage last Monday night. Coach John Harbaugh will demand better performance from his entire team, and Washington will have to withstand that lesson on Sunday. Lamar will look to rebound after a terrible game and could have a much easier time doing so if Washington’s 2020 first-round pick DE Chase Young (doubtful) sits.
No team has had to cover more points in 2020 as the 13-point spread is a season-high. The safe thing about taking Baltimore on the spread is that the Washington offense is in the bottom-seven in points per game (20.7) and second-last in yards per play. They’re also tied for the second-most turnovers per game at 2.3. These are traits that successful covering teams do not own.
Washington head coach Ron Rivera also stated this week that the team’s offensive players “deserve better” from their struggling second-year QB Dwayne Haskins — ouch.
PREDICTION: Baltimore -13 (-110)
Over/Under pick
The Ravens have yet to hit an Over this year as their opponents in Weeks 1 and 2 managed just 22 points combined. Baltimore has missed the Over by 3, 0.5 and 1 point in consecutive weeks on closing totals. The scariest thing about taking them on the Over in Week 4 with a total of 46 is Washington’s ability to contribute with the scoring. The Baltimore defense will be playing with an edge on Sunday after its primetime debacle in Week 3.
The Baltimore team total sits at 29.5 and could head north as Sunday approaches. Expecting the Ravens to score 33-37 points in order to hit the Over is a lot to ask for a run-first team. The books have Washington's team total at 15.5 but are -145 to score less than two TDs. We don’t expect Washington to hit paydirt twice and if Baltimore gets up big, Washington could abandon the kicking game.
PREDICTION: Under 46 (-110)
Player Prop Pick
Baltimore RB J.K. Dobbins saw his most action last week, receiving 43 percent of the backfield snaps in a negative game script. Dobbins is the team’s most athletic and explosive back but saw a lot of action with the Ravens trailing for most of the game. Before the Chiefs took over, Baltimore ran the ball on six of the 10 opening-drive plays. RB Mark Ingram saw three of those carries and had averaged 9.5 carries per game in the first two weeks.
We don’t love Ingram’s skill set, but Baltimore should come out in Week 4 and try to do what they do best, which is run the ball. Lamar Jackson could also look to rush less and take fewer hits in a game that should be a near-automatic win for the 2-1 Ravens. Baltimore rushed the ball 67 times in Weeks 1 and 2 and will look to pound the ball again on Sunday.
PREDICTION: Mark Ingram Over 13.5 carries (+110)
Ravens vs Washington betting card
- Baltimore -13 (-110)
- Under 46 (-110)
- Mark Ingram Over 13.5 carries (+110)
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