Tulsa vs Oklahoma State picks and predictions for Sept 19

Heisman candidate Chuba Hubbard decided to turn down the NFL and return for his senior year after leading the nation with 2,094 rushing yards in 2019.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Sep 15, 2020 • 01:11 ET
Chuba Hubbard Oklahoma State NCAA football
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

College football betting this weekend features some of top-ranked teams in the nation including the Oklahoma State Cowboys, who host the Tulsa Golden Hurricane on Saturday afternoon. 

Oklahoma State is coming off an 8-5 season but with All-American candidates at running back and wide receiver along with an improving defense, they look like a strong challenger for the Big 12 title.

Tulsa went 4-8 in 2019 and will be a 22-point underdog against OSU on Saturday. This game was delayed a week due to COVID-19 concerns, but it's all systems go now — so we're breaking down the college football odds and bringing you our free picks and predictions for Tulsa vs Oklahoma State on Saturday, September 19 (Noon ET).

Tulsa vs Oklahoma State betting preview

Weather

It's expected to be a great day for football at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Oklahoma, with temperatures in the low-80s for most of the day. Humidity will be at 63 percent and it should be clear skies, with just a 10 percent chance of precipitation along with breezes reaching 10 mph. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Injuries

Tulsa: Cristian Williams S (out), Anthony Watkins RB (out)
Oklahoma State: Tylan Wallace WR (probable), Collin Clay DT (out)
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

The Golden Hurricane are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games against Big 12 opponents. Get the latest NCAA football betting trends for Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State. 

 

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

These inter-state programs met up last season with Oklahoma State coming away with a 40-21 victory. That 19-point win was Okie State's biggest margin of victory against an FBS foe, which might make you wary about taking them at -22.5 in this contest. 

But don't be scared off by that line, OSU will be even better than last year. Sorry, Ohio State and Oregon State fans, but there won't be any confusion about which school we're talking about when we mention OSU this fall.

Heisman candidate (and Canadian) Chuba Hubbard decided to turn down the NFL and return for his senior year after leading the nation with 2,094 rushing yards in 2019. And quarterback Spencer Sanders should be more consistent after a solid first year where he was named Big 12 Offensive Freshman of the Year.

In addition, Sanders should have No. 1 target Tylan Wallace back in action after a leg injury cut his 2019 season short. Wallace had 903 receiving yards through eight games last year following a 2018 season where he had 1,491 receiving yards. 

As for Tulsa, they'll likely be even worse than a year ago. The Golden Hurricane's offense remains largely intact but their defense, which ranked 93rd in the country by surrendering 31.3 points per game, loses seven starters including five of their top six tacklers. 

PREDICTION: Oklahoma State -22.5 (-110)

 

Over/Under Pick

While Oklahoma State should be able to put up points, there's plenty of reason to lean under the lofty total of 66. While Oklahoma State's defense had some rough performances last year, that's to be expected among the Big 12 Conference's video-game scoring, especially against schools like Oklahoma, Baylor, and Texas. 

For the most part, the Cowboys stop-unit held up, ending the season fifth in the conference in scoring defense. They should be even better this year as 12 of their top 13 tacklers return to the lineup. 

Believe it or not, Hubbard isn't the Cowboys' only Canadian star, with linebacker Amen Ogbongemiga - and his team-leading 15.5 tackles for loss - combining with Malcolm Rodriguez to form a devastating linebacker duo. Add in stud safeties Kolby Harvell-Peel and Tre Sterling, and Tulsa won't find it easy to put up points in this contest. 

With the Cowboys going 4-0 to the Under in their last four contests and the Golden Hurricane cashing the Under in seven straight out-of-conference games, back the Under again.

PREDICTION: Under 66 (-110)

First Quarter Bet

The Golden Hurricanes' offense showed promise in 2019 and their effective trio of quarterback Zach Smith, running back Shamari Brooks and receiver Keylon Stokes returns this season. However, their offensive line struggled, and even with Smith and company, they had a difficult time scoring early in games.

Tulsa averaged just 3.4 first-quarter points per game against FBS foes, which ranked 120th in the nation. Oklahoma State was 19th in the country in scoring defense during the first 15 minutes, holding opponents to 4.2 ppg in the opening frame.

Expect another slow start from Tulsa and back the Pokes on the first-quarter spread.

PREDICTION: First Quarter Oklahoma State -7 (-110)

Tulsa vs Oklahoma State betting card

  • Oklahoma State -22 (-110)
  • Under 66 (-110)
  • First Quarter Oklahoma State -7 (-110)
NCAA Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State ATS and Over/Under picks, you could win $59.58 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on college football?

You can bet on college football odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NCAA football point spreads, Over/Under totals, derivative bets and even prop plays as well. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on college football odds in your area.

MORE NCAA FREE PICKS

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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