Finally the fight has been signed. I have already taken the -200 on Wlad and if the price goes lower I will plough in again.
Can Haye win here. He actually can. The one thing I will say about the guy is that he has a monsterous punch (with both hands) and has by far the quickest hand speed in the division. Also, the guy is one of the best trash talkers in the business. If he gets inside Wlad's head he may get Wlad to fight and go away from his gameplan (we have all seen this before with other big fights). If Haye connects with a bomb early doors, Wlad will go down. Haye hits far harder then Saunders or Brewster. That is a BIG if though.
I see this fight playing out right into Wlad's hands. The pressure on both fighters will be immense. After all the waiting all the hype I think both men will be effected by it all. I expect the first 1-6 rounds to be very similiar to Haye v Harrison. Very little action with Wlad winning all the rounds off the back of his jab. Haye is perfect for Wlad in that he has serious conditioning problems (always has). He can't fight for 3 minutes of every round. Therefore he won't be applying enough pressure to make Wlad uncomfortable at any stage of the fight.
I think entering the second half of the fight, Haye will need a knockout and he will start to get wreckless. Once this happens, I think then Wlad can get the KO as Haye has no chin. If Wlad can keep out of the trash talking, fight safety first and avoid getting tagged (which he should be able to do) I think this sould be an easy nights work for Wlad. Haye is not a bad fighter. Indeed he is a great Cruiserweight, but fighting in Germany against a huge man with great boxing fundamentals I think Haye is well out of his depth here and has bitten off more then he could chew.
If Haye wasn't British or undisputed Cruiserweight champ or not as charismatic you would not be getting -200 on Wlad. On paper this looks to me a mismatch with Haye's only chance landing a bomb. Wlad will know this and Haye will be punching either fresh air or Wlad's gloves all night long..
Love this play and feel the books have priced this fight up wrong..
Wlad -200 all the way to the bank