Posted:
#1
4 units on Calzaghe -230.
This fight is just really simple to me. Calzaghe's work rate, combination punching, movement, and toughness will be too much for Hopkins. Hopkins will be tenative, and I think this fight looks a lot like the early rounds of his fights with Taylor. Calzaghe's reach and activity will make it difficult for Hopkins as well. Don't be confused by B-Hop's latest performances. He beat Tarver on a night that an average middle weight would have beaten Tarver. Hopkins will always look good against guys who don't throw punches , and his win over Winky Wright is as relevant to this fight as a win over Trinidad.
Calzaghe won't fade late in this fight, he'll start fast and close strong. Many seem to think Hopkins controls this fight with counter punching and defense. Calzaghe is not an easy man to hit, despite his high activity level. He throws flurries and steps around as well as anyone today. Hopkins will have to land lead right hands and left hooks from the outside to have a chance in the fight. I can't see him getting away with a lot of wrestling inside, and I don't see him working enough inside to win rounds that way. Backing Hopkins is relying on his ability to hurt Calzaghe badly. Bernard has said as much, and we all know he can't out work him over 12 rounds. My question is, why should we believe he can do it? I guess Kessler is overrated like Lacy now to most idiots, but he punches much harder than Hopkins, and wasn't able to effect Calzaghe. I just don't buy any of the Hopkins reasoning, +200 is a sucker bet to me. They made this fight to propel Calzaghe to a couple big fights stateside and to retire Bernard Hopkins. Just go back and watch the quality of each man's last fights. Hopkins looked terrible against Winky. He's slipping, and this is his last big payday. Joe looked spectacular against Kessler, and he will bring back the true Jermain Taylor version of B-Hop.
This fight is just really simple to me. Calzaghe's work rate, combination punching, movement, and toughness will be too much for Hopkins. Hopkins will be tenative, and I think this fight looks a lot like the early rounds of his fights with Taylor. Calzaghe's reach and activity will make it difficult for Hopkins as well. Don't be confused by B-Hop's latest performances. He beat Tarver on a night that an average middle weight would have beaten Tarver. Hopkins will always look good against guys who don't throw punches , and his win over Winky Wright is as relevant to this fight as a win over Trinidad.
Calzaghe won't fade late in this fight, he'll start fast and close strong. Many seem to think Hopkins controls this fight with counter punching and defense. Calzaghe is not an easy man to hit, despite his high activity level. He throws flurries and steps around as well as anyone today. Hopkins will have to land lead right hands and left hooks from the outside to have a chance in the fight. I can't see him getting away with a lot of wrestling inside, and I don't see him working enough inside to win rounds that way. Backing Hopkins is relying on his ability to hurt Calzaghe badly. Bernard has said as much, and we all know he can't out work him over 12 rounds. My question is, why should we believe he can do it? I guess Kessler is overrated like Lacy now to most idiots, but he punches much harder than Hopkins, and wasn't able to effect Calzaghe. I just don't buy any of the Hopkins reasoning, +200 is a sucker bet to me. They made this fight to propel Calzaghe to a couple big fights stateside and to retire Bernard Hopkins. Just go back and watch the quality of each man's last fights. Hopkins looked terrible against Winky. He's slipping, and this is his last big payday. Joe looked spectacular against Kessler, and he will bring back the true Jermain Taylor version of B-Hop.
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