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Plays for a light weekend of fights

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Posted: #1
All plays and units wagered posted
2006 Results (March-July): +19.2 units (+$1,920)
Last Week: +2.78 units
2007 to date: +11.64 units (+$1,164)

This weekend like rest of August looks looks to be rough.  Bring on an action filled September.  In my opinion there is nothing on the slate this week that looks like it's worth wagering anything more than a small bet on.

Friday Action
.5 of a unit on over 5.5 rounds (+170) in Litzau-Lucero
.45 of a unit parlay on Harris-Ortiz over 9.5 (-140) and Soto Karass (-180) to win .75

Saturday International Action
.5 of a unit parlay on Abraham Inside Distance (-146) and Larsen (-1000) to win .43
.15 of a unit on under 7.5 rounds (+415) in Larsen-Hamdan
.10 of a unit on Takemoto (+1400) vs John
 
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Posted: #2
GL sir 
 
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Posted: #3
I'm still waiting/looking for some weigh-in results. Litz still seems beatable to me, though EL does not look the type, so I'll side w/ JL in that one. & I took note of how those u.card FNF's lines have fallen. & I also took note of where the Outcome Props for Harris were/are, compared to him being such a major SU side favorite. Both guys tend to go the Distance, & both tend to get beat when stepping up.

Gonna tab King Authur, prolly Larsen as well. I agry on that side Fbs. Why against CJ? Homecourt against him?

GLA!
bigeiii
 
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Posted: #4
Finally got the Weights!

I'm impressed, even suprised by Tua's cut. Now taking DT out, when I was toying w/ the idea of fading him, as he has looked rather disinterested in his so-called comeback (last fight in very particular, some I know say he did not win). This is DT's lowest Weight in 6 years & a Career high for SM. Who is originally a Lt.Heavy/Super Middle.

RG also looks to be good in-shape, added him as well. DR is also at a Career high. I'm pretty curious about RG, need to see mo' of him, might even drop the coin on the I'cast of this. RG is a little bit naturally thick upstairs, fairly (in a good way) puffy Arms, bit of the kla-assic spark-plug build. The kind that is strong but has never toughed a free-weight in his life. That's no bad thing; IF he can really turn on his Punches.

ESPN FNF's weigh-in's right on the button. I tried 'rone Harris by Decision & Ortiz by Stoppage. Have JL as just a pure side.

GLA!
bigeiii
 
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Thought I might have gotten worked on both Parlays in the u.card after the 1st 2-3 Rounds. I don't think I can call Ortiz good, but I know I can call him game. Why he did not chop the tree ('rone's body) all nite long, I don't know? It was there. But the +money pay-day on 'rone via Decision does covers that. I had it 8-2 favor of TH. But that's really 9-1 on the 10-8 KD.

JL beat EM like a rented goalie. But EM looked like he wanted nothing to do w/ JL to me, so I'm not sure what we can take from JL 2nite? JL got a KD on body-shots, & a closer on a Right. But I never saw one of those shots land really cleanly. So either JL has increased the juice to his already noticeable Voltage, or EM was just there to collect his pay-check. Me thinks it was the later. Though you kan't blame JL for that.



bigeiii
 
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Posted: #6
.5 of a unit on over 5.5 rounds (+170) in Litzau-Lucero
.45 of a unit parlay on Harris-Ortiz over 9.5 (-140) and Soto Karass (-180) to win .75 of a unit 


A whopping .25 of a unit won on the night, but a winning night beats a losing one.
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by bigeiii:

Finally got the Weights!

I'm impressed, even suprised by Tua's cut. Now taking DT out, when I was toying w/ the idea of fading him, as he has looked rather disinterested in his so-called comeback (last fight in very particular, some I know say he did not win). This is DT's lowest Weight in 6 years & a Career high for SM. Who is originally a Lt.Heavy/Super Middle.

RG also looks to be good in-shape, added him as well. DR is also at a Career high. I'm pretty curious about RG, need to see mo' of him, might even drop the coin on the I'cast of this. RG is a little bit naturally thick upstairs, fairly (in a good way) puffy Arms, bit of the kla-assic spark-plug build. The kind that is strong but has never toughed a free-weight in his life. That's no bad thing; IF he can really turn on his Punches.

ESPN FNF's weigh-in's right on the button. I tried 'rone Harris by Decision & Ortiz by Stoppage. Have JL as just a pure side.

GLA!
bigeiii



No one dissects near 20-1 favorites quite like you Bigeiii.  Please tell me your not thinking about ordering that card?  I don't see how any useful information could come out of any of those matchups.
 
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.15 of a unit on under 7.5 rounds (+415) in Larsen-Hamdan 


Abraham just made his way to the ring.  I love watching these German cards, the ring entrances are such a spectacle,  No smurfs this time for Abraham, but he did have a live band playing his intro.
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by Fullbrights:

.15 of a unit on under 7.5 rounds (+415) in Larsen-Hamdan 


Abraham just made his way to the ring.  I love watching these German cards, the ring entrances are such a spectacle,  No smurfs this time for Abraham, but he did have a live band playing his intro.



What are you watching this on?/
 
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Posted: #10
Streamtvnow.com, it's a subscription site.  Pretty cheap, like $6 a month.  I have watched the German cards there for the past couple of years.  They also show every major PPV if you don't feel like having people over to watch it on TV.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Fullbrights:

Streamtvnow.com, it's a subscription site.  Pretty cheap, like $6 a month.  I have watched the German cards there for the past couple of years.  They also show every major PPV if you don't feel like having people over to watch it on TV.


Thanks
 
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Posted: #12
I mainly just use it for the German cards and some UK cards they show on SKY.  It's the best site out there in my opinion and as long as you have a decent internet connection the picture is great.
 
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Posted: #13
Plus as a casual follower of UFC it is nice because I get to watch all of their PPV's on there.
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by Fullbrights:

Plus as a casual follower of UFC it is nice because I get to watch all of their PPV's on there.


I'm going to sign up !! For 6 bucks a month you can't beat it
 
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Posted: #15
Big 8th round for Abraham.  20 more seconds and I believe the fight would have been over.
 
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Posted: #16
Gevor can't crack an egg.
 
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Posted: #17
I have Abraham up 6-3 after 9.  He has not been that active, but he has landed some hard shots tonight.  Both look pretty winded.
 
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Posted: #18
It's going to be close on my Inside the Distance Abraham play, Gevor looked on the verge of being stopped in the 10th.
 
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Posted: #19
Wow!!! Devastating KO by Abraham.
 
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What a left hook by Abraham.  Gevor's chin held up a lot longer than I thought with the heavy shots that Abraham was landing, but it was worth it for that ending.


..5 of a unit parlay on Abraham Inside Distance (-146) and Larsen (-1000) to win .43 of a unit




 
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Posted: #21
Thanks for the link, and nice hit
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by Fullbrights:

What a left hook by Abraham.  Gevor's chin held up a lot longer than I thought with the heavy shots that Abraham was landing, but it was worth it for that ending.


..5 of a unit parlay on Abraham Inside Distance (-146) and Larsen (-1000) to win .43 of a unit






Good job man , couldnt get myself to pull the trigger on the inside the distance .Glad you won. I also thank you for the link
 
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Posted: #23
That was nice.
Tua crushed his guy on his signature doubled-up Left-Hook. 1 down low, 1 up high, & the parties over. DT was trim, at least for DT, maybe he's serious again? Tough to tell in under 3 miniutes. But Power is the last thing to leave  a Heavy, so he still has some shot, pun intended. Greenberg was somewhat on cruise control until the 8th & 9th, then he scored 4 KD's on Body-shots. John won as well. Mads cruised to a Decision.


bigeiii
 
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Posted: #24
.10 of a unit on Takemoto (+1400) vs John 


Won a massive .38 of a unit for the week.  I hate these slow weeks with huge chalk and no decent matchups. 
 
 
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Posted: #25
Well documented, accurate commentary, and very clear.  Nice work
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